FORTUNE+ VIDEO SPONSORED CONTENTS ADVERTORIALS FORTUNE AUDIO Fortune Careers TRADE AFRICA Election 2026 New TIME REMAINING UNTIL ETHIOPIA’S NATIONAL ELECTION 0Days 0Hours 0Minutes 0Seconds

ስንቄ ባንክ በከፍተኛ ወረት የካፒታል ገበያን ተቀላቀለ

ስንቄ ኢንቨስትመንት ባንክ በ480 ሚሊዮን ብር የተመዘገበ ካፒታል ይዞ በይፋ ሥራ ጀምሯል። ባንኩ ከኢትዮጵያ የካፒታል ገበያ ባለስልጣን የሥራ ፈቃድ ዛሬ ያገኘ ሲሆን፣ ይህም በዘርፉ ከተሰማሩ አምስት ተቋማት መካከል በካፒታል መጠኑ ግዙፉ ያደርገዋል። ይህ አዲስ የኢንቨስትመንት ባንክ በስንቄ ግሩፕ ስር የተቋቋመ ሦስተኛው ድርጅት ሲሆን፣ የባንኩ ፕሬዝዳንት ነዋይ መገርሳ እንደገለጹት አራተኛው እህት ኩባንያም በመመሥረት ላይ ይገኛል።

​አዲሱን የኢንቬስትመንት ባንክ በዋና ሥራ አስፈጻሚነት እንዲመሩ የተሰየሙት ግርማ ሙለታ ሲሆኑ፣ ቀደም ሲል በኢትዮጵያ ንግድ ባንክ በገበያ ጥናትና ብድር ክትትል እንዲሁም በስንቄ ባንክ በስትራቴጂክ ለውጥ አስተዳደር ዳይሬክተርነት ያካበቱት ልምድ ለተቋሙ ስኬት ፋይዳ ይኖረዋል ተብሎ ይጠበቃል።

​በአገሪቱ የኢንቨስትመንት ባንክ ዘርፍ ውስጥ ወጋገን ካፒታል በ358 ሚሊዮን ብር ካፒታል ቀዳሚውን ስፍራ ይዞ የነበረ ቢሆንም፣ ስንቄ በከፍተኛ ልዩነት መሪነቱን ተረክቧል። በዘርፉ ሌሎች ተዋናዮች የሆኑት የኢትዮጵያ ንግድ ባንክና ዳሎል ካፒታል በጋራ የመሰረቱት ሲቢኢ ካፒታል፣ ፈርስት አዲስ ኢንቨስትመንት እንዲሁም በ200 ሚሊዮን ብር ካፒታል ሥራ የጀመረው አዋሽ ካፒታል በገበያው ውስጥ የሚጠቀሱ ተቋማት ናቸው።

​የኢትዮጵያ የካፒታል ገበያ ባለስልጣን ዋና ዳይሬክተር ሃና ተኸልቁ፣ በርካታ ኩባንያዎች ፈቃድ ለማውጣት ዝግጅት እያደረጉ መሆኑን ጠቁመው፣ ይህም ለዘርፉ ዕድገትና ለካፒታል ገበያው መጎልበት ትልቅ መነቃቃትን እንደሚፈጥር ገልጸዋል።

ብሄራዊ ባንክ ለተቀማጭ ገንዘብ የሚከፍለው ዝቅተኛ የወለድ ተመን እንዲቀር ወሰነ

የኢትዮጵያ ብሄራዊ ባንክ ገዢ እዮብ ተካልኝ (ዶ/ር) ለረጅም ጊዜ ስራ ላይ የቆየውን ዝቅተኛ የተቀማጭ የወለድ ተመን (Floor Rate) በማንሳት፣ ሁሉም ባንኮች የቁጠባ ወለድ ምጣኔን በራሳቸው እንዲወስኑ ፈቀዱ።

​በብሄራዊ ባንክ ገዢው ሰብሳቢነት የሚመራው የገንዘብ ፖሊሲ ኮሚቴ፣ ቀደም ሲል ሰባት በመቶ የነበረው ዝቅተኛ የወለድ ወለል እንዲቀር የወሰነው የገንዘብ ፖሊሲውን ነጻ ለማድረግ ከሚወሰዱ እርምጃዎች መካከል አንዱ አካል በመሆኑ ነው። ውሳኔው የተቀማጭ ገንዘብ ዋጋ ከገበያው ሁኔታና ከማዕከላዊ ባንኩ አጠቃላይ የፖሊሲ ለውጥ ጋር እንዲጣጣም ለማድረግ ያለመ ነው።

​ባለፈው ሳምንት አምስተኛ መደበኛ ስብሰባውን ያካሄደው ኮሚቴው ይህን ውሳኔ ያሳለፈው፣ ባንኩ ባለፈው ዓመት የ15 በመቶ መነሻ የፖሊሲ ወለድ ተመን (Benchmark Policy Rate) ማስተዋወቁን ተከትሎ ነው። ይህ የመነሻ ወለድ በገንዘብ እንቅስቃሴና በካፒታል ዋጋ ላይ ግልጽ አቅጣጫ ለመስጠት ያለመ ሲሆን፣ የተቀማጭ ወለድ ወለል መነሳቱ ባንኮች በአስተዳደራዊ ቁጥጥር ሳይገደዱ እንደ ግሽበት ግምታቸው ተለዋዋጭ የወለድ ምጣኔ እንዲወስኑ ይረዳቸዋል።

ባለስልጣናቱ ይህን እርምጃ ወደ ገበያ-መር የገንዘብ ስርዓት ለመሸጋገር፣ የቁጠባ አቅምን ለማሳደግ እና የካፒታል ስርጭትን ውጤታማ ለማድረግ እንደሚረዳ ያምናሉ። በተጨማሪም ማእከላዊ ባንኩ የዋጋ ግሽበትን ወደ አንድ አሃዝ ለማውረድ የያዘውን ግብ ለመደገፍ እንደሚያግዝ ታምኖበታል። በህዳር ወር 2018 ዓ.ም. አጠቃላይ የዋጋ ግሽበት ወደ 10.9 በመቶ ዝቅ ማለቱን ተከትሎ፣ የኢኮኖሚው ሁኔታ ለተጨማሪ የፖሊሲ ማሻሻያዎች ዝግጁ መሆኑን ባለስልጣናቱ ያምናሉ።

​ማዕከላዊ ባንኩ በተቀማጭ ወለድ ላይ ያለውን ቁጥጥር ቢያላላም፣ አጠቃላይ የገንዘብ ዝውውርን (Monetary Aggregates) በፍጥነት ከመልቀቅ ተቆጥቧል። የኮሚቴው መረጃ እንደሚያሳየው፣ አጠቃላይ የገንዘብ አቅርቦት (M2) በዓመት የ38.8 በመቶ እድገት ያስመዘገበ ሲሆን፣ የባንኮች የብድር ክምችትም እስከ ህዳር ወር ድረስ የ44.5 በመቶ ጭማሪ አሳይቷል። በዚህም ምክንያት የንግድ ባንኮች በብሄራዊ ባንክ የሚያስቀምጡት የመጠባበቂያ ገንዘብ መጠን (Reserve Requirement) በሦስት ነጥብ አድጎ ወደ 10 በመቶ ከፍ እንዲል ተደርጓል። ሆኖም ዕለታዊ ዝቅተኛ የመጠባበቂያ ክምችቱ በአምስት በመቶ እንዲቀጥል ተወስኗል።

ባንኮች ይህን አዲሱን የመጠባበቂያ መጠን ለማስተካከል ከሦስት እስከ ስድስት ወራት ጊዜ ተሰጥቷቸዋል።

​በተጨማሪም ኮሚቴው የዋጋ ግሽበትን ለማረጋጋት ቀደም ሲል ተጥሎ የነበረው የ24 በመቶ የብድር እድገት ገደብ (Credit Cap) ባለበት እንዲቀጥል ተወስኗል።
​የተቀማጭ ወለድን ነጻ የማድረግ እርምጃ ከመጠባበቂያ ክምችት ማሳደግና የብድር ገደብን ካለመልቀቅ ጋር ጎን ለጎን መተግበሩ፣ ማዕከላዊ ባንኩ በገበያው ያለውን የገንዘብ መጠን ለመቆጣጠር ያለውን ፍላጎትና የማእከላዊ ባንክ ገዢው እዮብ የሀገሪቱን ኢኮኖሚያዊ እድገት ሳይጎዱ የገንዘብ ዝውውሩን ለማመጣጠን እያደረጉት ያለውን ፍላጎት ያሳያል።

በልማት ባንክ ለረጅም ጊዜ ያገለገሉት ምክትል ፕሬዝዳንት ከኃላፊነታቸው ተሰናበቱ

በኢትዮጵያ ልማት ባንክ ከፍተኛ የሥራ አመራር እርከን ላይ ረጅም ዓመታትን ያስቆጠሩት ጌታቸው ዋቄ ከታኅሣሥ 17 ቀን 2018 ዓ.ም. ጀምሮ ከባንኩ ምክትል ፕሬዝዳንትነት ኃላፊነታቸው ተሰናብተዋል። የጌታቸው መሰናበት በባንኩ ውስጥ እየተካሄደ ያለው ሰፊ የአመራር ለውጥ አካል ሲሆን፣ በቅርብ ሣምንታት ካስተናገዳቸው ከፍተኛ የአመራር ሽግሽጎች መካከል አንዱ ሆኗል።

ጌታቸው ከባንኩ የተሰናበቱት ከሁለት አስርተ ዓመታት በላይ በተለያዩ ስትራቴጂካዊ የኃላፊነት ቦታዎች ላይ ካገለገሉ በኋላ ነው። የእሳቸው ስንብት የመጣው፣ ባለፉት ሦስት ሳምንታት ውስጥ ብቻ በባንኩ የሥራ አስፈጻሚዎችና በዳይሬክተሮች ቦርድ አባላት ላይ እየተደረገ ካለው ተከታታይ ለውጥ ጋር ተገጣጥሞ ነው።

​ቀደም ሲል ተክለወልድ አጥናፉን በመተካት፣ የኢትዮጵያ ኢንቨስትመንት ሆልዲንግ ዋና ሥራ አስፈጻሚ ብሩክ ታየ (ዶ/ር) የልማት ባንክ የቦርድ ሰብሳቢ ሆነው መሾማቸው ይታወሳል። ተክለወልድ ለረዥም ዔመታት የብሔራዊ ባንክ ገዢ ሆነው ሰርተዋል::

የብሩክ ሹመት በባንኩ ከፍተኛ አመራሮች ሹመትና መዋቅራዊ የሥልጣን ወሰን ላይ ካሉ ውጥረቶች ጋር ተያይዞ፣ ተቋሙ አዲስ የአመራር አቅጣጫ እንዲይዝ የሚያደርግ ሊሆን ይችላል።

​በዚሁ የአመራር ለውጥ ሂደት፣ ኢሳያስ ካሳ (ዶ/ር) እመቤት መለሰን (ዶ/ር) በመተካት የልማት ባንክ ፕሬዝዳንት ሆነው ተሹመዋል። ኢሳያስ ቀደም ሲል በብሩክ መሪነት በኢትዮጵያ ካፒታል ገበያ ባለሥልጣን ውስጥ ያገለገሉ ሲሆን፣ የሳቸው ወደ ልማት ባንክ መምጣት ተቋሙ በሥራ አስፈፃሚ አባላት ላይ ለውጥ ሊያደርግ እንደሚችል ማሳያ ተደርጎ ተወስዷል።

​የባንኩ የቦርድ ሰብሳቢ ብሩክ በሰጡት መግለጫ፣ ጌታቸው ለባንኩ ላበረከቱት የረጅም ዘመን አገልግሎት ምስጋናቸውን አቅርበው ከምክትል ፕሬዝዳንትነት ኃላፊነታቸው መሰናበታቸውን አረጋግጠዋል።

Oromia State Puts New Fee on Coffee Bean Sales

Officials in the Oromia Regional State have imposed a levy on coffee bought for export, targeting thousands of producers in a bid to restructure longstanding inequities in the sector’s value chain.

A directive issued by the Trade Bureau under the region’s government introduced a five percent levy on every kilogram of coffee bought from farmers. The region produces nearly 79pc of total coffee exports, making it the undisputed giant in a country where coffee is the top export earner. A directive issued by the State’s Trade Bureau now mandates that over 4,000 coffee producers selling to exporters should pay the levy, which is calculated based on benchmark prices set by the Ethiopian Coffee & Tea Authority (ECTA).

Regional officials argue that the sheer volume of coffee produced in the region has not translated into proportional gains for the farmers who grow it. Decades of infrastructure gaps, they say, continue to weigh on farmers’ earnings across the major coffee-growing zones. The last six years saw 600 billion Br invested in the coffee sector, yet roads, storage, and modern processing facilities have lagged far behind the needs of the region’s growers.

A regional study found that selling green coffee for less than 100 Br a kilogram is non-viable for most farmers. That has prompted authorities to consider market interventions to keep prices above that threshold and ensure the sector’s sustainability.

The authorities who introduced the levy hope to bolster the regional economy and fix long-standing imbalances in how value is shared along the coffee supply chain.

According to Tesfaye Gesho, deputy director general of the Oromia Trade Bureau, the directive was primarily intended to improve coffee quality and, by extension, boost export revenues. He disclosed that zonal administrations have submitted detailed plans for the use of revenues collected through the new levy, with an emphasis on farmers’ training as a central objective.

“We’re focusing on giving producers more instruction in coffee production techniques, quality management, and post-harvest handling,” said Tesfaye. “With higher standards, Oromia’s export performance will rise as well.”

The distribution of coffee-related taxes is another sore point. According to Tesfaye, urban centres have long benefited from the “kote” system, which collects coffee cleanliness fees, while rural farming zones have missed out. The new directive seeks to correct this, encouraging exporters to invest directly at the source to improve quality before beans reach city-based processing centres. Tesfaye disclosed that neighbouring regional states have already been briefed on the levy, and consultations with industry stakeholders are underway to explain the new approach.

Hussein Ambo (PhD), chairman of the Ethiopian Coffee Growers, Producers & Exporters Association, confirms that discussions with authorities have taken place and that the directive could eventually extend to other regional states.

“We’ve got some important concessions,” he said.

Expenses tied to the levy are now tax-deductible, and the “kote” fees will be waived for suppliers covered by the new rule.

However, Hussein sees potential pitfalls if domestic prices rise too quickly.

“If the quality increases, we don’t have a problem,” he told Fortune. “But rising prices in farmers’ markets could create challenges for exporters.”

At the national level, federal authorities in charge of the sector plan to ensure the export of three billion dollars worth of coffee this year, with Oromia Regional State targeting 2.6 billion dollars of the total. This year, officials in the regional state plan to deliver 650,000tns of coffee to the central market, a sharp rise from last year’s 470,000tns. Zonal revenue bureaus across the region will collect the revenue from the new levy.

“The tax was carefully calibrated to avoid placing excessive pressure on exporters, with the levy calculated on 50pc of the market value,” Tesfaye told Fortune.

Ethiopia is home to nearly six million coffee farmers, and the coffee supply chain is vast and complex. Experts estimate that more than 10,000 suppliers are operating in Oromia Regional State alone, though regional officials put the figure closer to 4,000. The region itself is divided into over 100 zones, each with unique geography, climate, and challenges.

In West Guji Zone, Tuke Anaharo, head of the region’s agricultural bureau, oversees over 200 farmers tending coffee on 1,130hct of land. The zone exported 89,000tns last year and is targeting 115,000tns this year. According to Tuke, the region is betting on production growth by supporting commercial farms and rolling out cluster farming across six woredas. West Guji’s two rainy seasons are a key advantage, helping produce high-quality coffee with ratings ranging from one to three.

Officials hope new rules will improve quality and revenue, but Tuke admitted that, so far, the zone has not seen meaningful gains from exports because the directive’s full implementation is still pending.

Rising domestic prices are colliding with uncertainty in export markets, creating pressure along the entire value chain. Economic law and policy expert Bereket Alemayehu warned that producers and exporters have limited ways to manage losses, leaving farmers especially vulnerable.

“Exporters may attempt to transfer their losses to their suppliers, including farmers, offering lower prices in their future purchases,” Bereket said.

Faced with lower offers, farmers often chose between accepting less or reducing essential inputs like fertiliser, a decision that could undermine future harvests.

Smallholder farmers bear the risk whenever market conditions sour.

Mustofa Mufti is a farmer and exporter in the Jimma Zone. He manages 35hct in Jimma, yielding about 14Qtls a hectare, mostly for export. He acknowledges infrastructure development is underway, but says implementation remains uncertain. He viewed the new levy as less of a challenge than the relentless rise in domestic prices. The minimum price is set at 100 Br a kilogram, but he believes fresh red coffee can fetch as much as 230 Br.

According to Bereket, there is a need for infrastructure investments in rural coffee-growing areas, particularly new and better roads connecting farms to major markets. Upgrading processing facilities for drying, milling, and hulling is as vital as modern storage solutions.

“Training in best practices, post-harvest handling, and access to market information should be expanded,” he said.

With international standards for coffee quality and traceability becoming ever more stringent, Bereket also sees a pressing need to invest in digital infrastructure, including systems that can trace coffee from farm to export dock. This, he believes, would help local producers gain access to higher-value markets abroad.

However, Bereket remains cautiously supportive of policies like the new Oromia levy, so long as the resulting funds are genuinely invested in improvements that reach farmers.

“The stated objective is valid,” he said. “Farmers receive a disproportionately small share of international coffee prices. Funds generated through the levy could support essential upgrades that strengthen production and export quality.”

Addis Abeba Rewrites Rules for Public Projects

A new rulebook ratified by Addis Abeba’s city cabinet is sending shockwaves through the capital’s construction industry, altering procurement, project eligibility, and financial viability.

While officials frame the overhaul as an ambitious effort to enhance transparency, quality assurance, and fiscal discipline, contractors warn of a looming slowdown, pricing distortions, and exclusionary practices that could upend smaller players. The new regulation promises to change how every building, bridge and condominium block in the capital is built.

Two months ago, the city cabinet approved the lengthy regulation governing procurement and work-order procedures for construction contractors, a document that spells out in minute detail what they should complete, how they charge, and when they can bid on their next job. No builder may start another housing, corridor or riverside project until inspectors confirm that 85pc of its last contract from the city administration is complete.

The regulation declares an ambition “to ensure construction works are completed on time, within budget and to the required quality” while creating a transparent system for hiring and overseeing contractors. It forbids any request for a price revision once the ink is dry on a deal. For every publicly funded build, a fixed-price formula will apply, where if two comparable projects arise in different districts, they should carry the same unit costs.

These benchmarks, to be calculated every three months by the Design & Construction Works Bureau after market surveys, are meant to stamp out the bargaining that has long inflated budgets. Before a shovel can touch soil, a committee of seven, comprising experts from Housing Development & Administration and Finance bureaus, Building Permit & Supervision Authority, the Beautification & Green Development Office, housed in Mayor Adanech Abiebie’s office, would review bids, confirm that a contractor owns or leases a quarry for aggregates, possesses a licensed dump for spoil and has arranged alternative facilities if either is absent.

Only after such a review does the bureau with the public project have its officials sign a contract. Officials at the city’s Finance Bureau, the office tasked with enforcement, have begun briefing district engineers and accountants, but admit that full implementation is still months away.

Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed (PhD) has pledged to Parliament that his Administration would see through the building of 1.5 million homes across the country in six years. Addis Abeba City government’s share of that promise remains heavy, with planners hoping to begin the construction of 100,000 dwellings in the current fiscal year while pushing ahead with sweeping corridor and riverside projects that already clog thoroughfares with scaffolding and traffic diversions.

There is no shortage of companies lining up for the work. More than 35,000 domestic construction firms and 151,000 professionals are active nationwide, though officials of the Ministry of Urban & Infrastructure describe their collective performance as “unsatisfactory”. Its senior officials warned that tighter rules were inevitable, while non-compliance could lead to contracts being voided outright.

Any firm that had a city contract terminated in the past two years is barred from participating in new bids. Prime contractors should have completed at least three earlier projects, one similar in nature to the new job. They should commit the listed workforce and machinery and subcontract no less than 20pc of peripheral tasks, such as plumbing or landscaping, to at least five smaller companies.

Not surprisingly, elements of the new regulation, such as the threshold and the ban on price adjustments, have rattled the industry.

For Mehdin Mohammed, general manager of UMC Building Construction, a firm with dozens of sites and active in the construction sector for close to a decade, these are “near impossible” to comply with in a volatile market. He argued that if a company has moved 40pc of a complicated build in six months, that is real progress.

The percentage of a project completed shouldn’t measure contractor performance,” he said. “Excluding it from new bids simply because it hasn’t reached 85pc makes no sense.”

Inflation is Mehdin’s second worry, with cement, steel and diesel prices changing twice a month.

“A fixed cost can turn a contract into a loss and push us to abandon the site,” Mehdin told Fortune. “Soil conditions, haulage distance and local wages make a tower in affluent Bole markedly dearer than one in hillside Gulele.”

Ahmed Seid, who runs Saracon Construction, conceded that professionalism needs a lift in a sector where “anyone with capital can call themselves a contractor,” yet he also sees bias in the regulation. He fears the rule on project completion locks a medium-sized company to one project, while giants with deeper pockets can juggle several.

“It favours firms with muscle,” he said.

Ahmed also viewed the demand for the three prior jobs as slippery. He was unable to distinguish whether the idea of “similar” refers to value or structure.

“Either way, newcomers struggle to qualify,” said Ahmed.

Penalties bite hard, as failure to meet time or quality obligations can trigger a two-year ban from municipal bidding and open the door to legal action. If 10pc of the work remains and the delay continues, fines would be one-thousandth of the project’s total cost for every day overdue.

Public works have become the capital’s defining feature of the past decade. Since 2015, state-led construction, anchored in transport, housing and public buildings, has absorbed a disproportionate share of the urban capital spending, reshaping the skyline while straining public finances and administrative capacity. Roads and junction projects, rolled out in parallel, delivered visible gains in connectivity but also entrenched a model that prioritises expansion over operational efficiency.

Condominium housing projects, marketed as solutions to chronic shortages, have produced dense clusters of mid-rise blocks on the urban periphery, bundled with roads and basic utilities. Yet studies of these estates revealed uneven service provision and experimental infrastructure fixes, including unconventional wastewater systems in areas where sewer networks were absent.

For a city that has allotted 71.pc of its 350 billion Br budget for the fiscal year, behind the concrete and steel lies a consistent pattern of underperformance. Academic and technical assessments of public projects in Addis Abeba converge on familiar culprits of unrealistic planning, delayed approvals, weak project management and chronic financing gaps. Time overruns are the norm rather than the exception, driven by slow decision-making by clients and consultants, frequent design changes and delayed payments. Safety and quality lapses, particularly in temporary works such as scaffolding, have added hidden costs, accounting for a material share of project delays and site accidents.

Construction spending has scaled from billions to tens of billions of Birr annually, inflated by rising input costs and foreign-exchange constraints. Yet comprehensive, transparent accounting remains elusive, with city budgets blending construction, operations and off-budget financing.

Addis Abeba’s construction boom has altered the city’s physical form, expanding roads, housing stock and public facilities at a pace unmatched in its history. But experts say the decade-long record showed diminishing returns from sheer scale alone. Without stronger front-end planning, more transparent accountability, and a shift from building more to building better, the capital risks entrench perpetual construction, persistent delays, and a city that is always on the verge of completion, but never quite finished.

The experts who have long been calling for discipline in the sector welcomed the city administration’s resolve. Abebe Dinku of Addis Ababa University, the German-educated civil engineering professor, is known to be one such voice of authority. He applauds the city administration for trying to inject discipline into a sector with an ever-growing public projects. Yet, he worries that the authors of the regulation may have confused contractors with developers. The latter can bankroll buildings in return for future sales and are therefore less dependent on advance payments.

“The regulation is silent on how builders are supposed to mobilise funds,” said Abebe.

He called the fixed-price doctrine “unrealistic,” recalling health centres and regional universities that were mired in dispute when a similar system was tried under the previous administration. Abebe cautioned that fixed costs overlook the sharp cost differences between neighbourhoods, and imported construction materials inevitably cause sudden cost swings. Past disputes between contractors and the city administration have drained public coffers and delayed projects by several years.

However, Abebe’s emphatic criticism focused on the process, in which the guidelines were issued before consultation.

“That is the wrong way round,” he told Fortune.

Famine Stalks Ethiopians While Politics Undermines Effective Responses

The latest pictures from weredas in Western Tigray Regional State are a punch to the gut. Elderly men and women lie stick-thin on ragged mats, too weak to crawl, recalling the grainy television images of the 1970s famine that once mobilised the world.

Back then, the promise was “Never Again!” Today, it sounds hollow. That promise was made not only in Ethiopia. Images from Bangladesh’s 1974 famine provoked a similar vow, equally unmet.

Hitsats, the town behind the images, sits in Asgede Wereda, south of the old frontline town of Badme and west of gold-rich Shire. Its camp is filled with people uprooted first by the war five years ago and now by a grinding stand-off between leaders of the regional state and the federal government. Local activists took to social media with the disturbing photos and video clips, reporting that at least 50 people have died in recent weeks from hunger, malnutrition or easily curable diseases. Another 1,700 are reportedly at risk.

Many call this a “man-made” catastrophe. Indeed, the charge of neglect by the country’s political leadership lands awkwardly.

Only a few kilometres away, the top brass commanders of the Tigray Defence Forces (TDF) control lucrative gold mines. Critics allege that smuggling has enriched the brass while they ignore their starving neighbours. TDF’s chain of command appears to be loose, pushing accountability into a fog. Whatever the hierarchy, it seems that gold convoys pass huts where elders starve.

Predictably, blame is traded. The TPLF, the political party that controls life in the region, accuses Addis Abeba of a “continued policy of genocide” and urges foreign pressure. Federal officials, such as Shiferaw Teklemariam (PhD), who oversees national disaster management, recoil. He blamed TPLF leaders for “instrumentalising famine for political gains”. He insisted that two million quintals of grain and nearly 32 billion Br in aid have been delivered to the region this year alone.

Yet warnings from international aid agencies monitoring the humanitarian situation grow louder. Aid agencies still classify parts of the regional state as IPC Phase Five – catastrophe – months after the guns fell silent.

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS) reckons that, by early 2026, hunger will move from forecast to fact for millions. The evidence already litters parched fields, empty granaries and crowded feeding centres.

East Hararghe in Oromia Regional State tells the tale. The “Meher” crop output has collapsed by 54pc, a brutal blow to subsistence households whose coping capacity has long been exhausted. West Hararghe has lost 34pc. The usual tricks of borrowing or buying cannot bridge such gaps because these point to a structural breach that will stretch until at least May 2026.

Children arrive at therapeutic centres late, thinner and harder to save; deaths are expected to climb. Severe acute malnutrition, once sporadic, is rising steadily. East and West Hararghe accounted for 26pc of all therapeutic-feeding admissions in September. South-eastwards, the pastoral belt slides deeper into distress. Somali Regional State, Borena and South Omo endured one of the driest October-to-December periods on record. Some localities received barely 30pc of their normal rains.

Weakened herds, shrinking milk yields and ethnic tensions that crimp movement push pastoralists towards crisis. Aid agencies warn that even good rains in March may only slow, not reverse, the descent.

The north remains fragile, as a partial “Meher” harvest has eased pressure in parts of Amhara and Tigray regional states, but the reprieve is thin. By mid-November, only a third of crops in Amhara Regional State and 60pc in Tigray Regional State had been gathered, as late-planted and moisture-stressed fields were yielding little. Losses cluster in lowland pockets of North Wello, Wag Himra and the southern, eastern and central zones of Tigray Regional State.

Therapeutic-feeding admissions in Amhara Regional State are up 19pc on last year and 42pc on the five-year norm. With stocks draining early, many families will enter the March-to-May lean season empty-handed.

Conflicts compound the misery. Fighting widened in Amhara Regional State in October and November, disrupting markets and travel when households should have been rebuilding. Renewed clashes in Tigray and Afar regional states displaced 18,000 people in one district in early November, most of them women and children.

Ironically, macroeconomic data could be misleading but comforting for policymakers. They could mistakenly believe that stability at an elevated level means assurance for families with falling incomes.

Headline inflation has eased to 11.7pc, and food inflation to 10.2pc. On paper, affordability is improving, but in reality, the Birr has slid 40pc against the dollar since September. Prices could remain lofty. Sorghum in Sekota is eight percent higher than a year ago.

The World Food Programme (WFP) pencilled in help for 6.8 million Ethiopians in 2025, but expects a funding gap that could leave 2.6 million without assistance by early 2026.

Famines rarely strike like lightning. They assemble slowly, from political and economic decisions that strip people of entitlements and dodge responsibility for the consequences. Ethiopia’s hunger episodes, notably in the Tigray and Amhara regional states, owe less to weather than to choices made by political elites.

Large famines are almost unknown in liberal democracies. They cluster in autocracies and war zones where power escapes scrutiny. Ethiopia’s repeated slides into hunger under conflicts and constrained accountability fit the pattern. The lesson is not that Ethiopia lacks grain. It lacks an enforceable “anti-famine contract”. Calling famine “political” is no slogan; it is a diagnosis. Amartya Sen settled the debate decades ago.

Mass starvation seldom stems from absolute food shortage. It follows the collapse of wages, the shutdown of markets, the flight from farms, and the politicisation of aid. Ethiopia has known droughts without mass death. What changed is the policy. Insecurity blocked grain and fuel; banking and telecoms were interrupted; movement was restricted; relief was looted or delayed.

These are not meteorological facts but man-made environments. By the time leaders admit failure, people have already pawned assets, skipped meals for days and crossed physiological thresholds from which recovery is unlikely. If such failures are not corrected — quickly, openly, and on a grand scale — hunger turns lethal.

Preventing starvation means restoring purchasing power when prices jump, reopening markets when war closes them, guaranteeing humanitarian access and reacting instantly when people start to die. It demands institutions that report bad news early and punish indifference. Until Ethiopia’s political elites face real costs for letting entitlement failure become mass death, the country will keep learning the same brutal lesson that people die when power looks away.

For donors, the danger is complacency. Ethiopia is not confronting a sudden shock but a slow-burning emergency fanned by climate, conflict and eroded resilience. Hunger now maps a broad crescent from the eastern highlands through the southern rangelands back to the north. Without decisive action, the wretched scenes in Hitsats will not be an exception. They will be the new normal.

Hitsats is one of 146 camps across Tigray Regional State, relics of the 2020 war that uprooted more than four million civilians. Shiferaw asserted that two million quintals of grain and almost 32 billion Br have been dispatched to the region this year alone. Yet, consignments shrink once they meet insecurity, bureaucracy and mounting need.

The FEWS Network, a donor bible for food crises, now maps most of Ethiopia in Phase 3 (crisis) or worse. Its analysts fear pockets will cross into Phase 4 (emergency) or Phase 5 by early 2026, a timetable that should alarm leaders but so far scarcely moves them.

However, the lesson from previous crises should not be lost that food security in Ethiopia has become a structural feature of the economy. Ignoring this reality will ensure that emergencies such as those now unfolding in places like Histetse become permanent.

Left to Starve in Silence, Aid Fails the Displaced

In the war-scarred northern regions, a humanitarian emergency is unfolding in slow motion, marked by rising starvation, eroding health conditions, and a sharp decline in international assistance.

Camps for internally displaced persons (IDPs) across Tigray and Amhara regional states are becoming epicentres of a disaster that has gradually slipped off the radar.

At the Hitsats camp of Asgede Wereda, near Indasilase–Shire in the north-west zone of the regional state, displaced families report a steep drop in food aid, both in quantity and reliability, leaving them in a precarious struggle for survival. The camp, surrounded by arid land, offers no means of subsistence, making the displaced entirely dependent on humanitarian relief that is now dwindling.

Among them is Abreha Mebratu, a priest and father of four. Separated from his children, who have gone to Eritrea and Sudan, Abreha lives alone, with no news of their fate. Once a prosperous farmer with nearly 10hct of land, Abreha now survives on meagre monthly rations of 15Kg of grain and half a litre of oil.

“There is no food to survive,” he said. “We’re now burying people because of hunger. This should never happen to people who can work and support themselves.”

The absence of medical supplies and the inability to meet other essential needs have compounded the crisis. He is unsure how people in the camp are expected to grind sorghum without support. Declining to detail the daily hardships, he stated “miraculous survival.”

“It’s an ugly life, and we need more treatment and more help to stay alive,” Abreha said.

He is one of the over 2.4 million people affected across Tigray Regional State, a number determined after a multi-sectoral seasonal assessment for the “meher” was conducted.

The crisis in Tigray Regional State is mirrored in the neighbouring Amhara Regional State. In South and North Wollo, humanitarian aid remains inadequate, and people continue to struggle, particularly in the Janamora District of North Gondar. Hunger-related deaths have been reported, with residents warning that the situation could deteriorate if conditions persist. Drought has worsened the food crisis in some areas, while ongoing security risks make it difficult for IDPs to find work or daily labour.

In both regional states, displaced families endure acute shortages in camps like Hitsats and Bakielo near Debre Birhan, 130Km northeast of Addis Abeba. Even at sites considered better managed, many families sleep in warehouses and depend on irregular labour to survive. For Abera Alemu, supporting a household shared with four families has become a tremendous burden due to unstable employment. After searching for work in the city, he found only two days of temporary labour, insufficient to meet essential needs.

“I was able to work and support my family,” said Abera. “Now I’m losing everything. Hunger alone is overwhelming, and it becomes unbearable when I see my children suffering.”

Once a productive farmer in East Wollega Zone, Oromia Regional State, Abera now begs to feed his children.

“What kind of future can I expect for my children when they are exposed to things no child should face?” he asked. “We need urgent support to survive, not for me, but for my children.”

An official from the Debre Berhan city administration, who spoke on condition of anonymity, described the situation of IDPs as dire throughout the regional state, where 660,000 people are sheltered, according to UNOCHA data for this year. These are part of the 4.5 million internally displaced people in Tigray, Amhara, Oromia and Somali regional states.

However, humanitarian aid has dropped. As of mid-2025, the situation is projected to be even worse, where appeals were made for 46 billion dollars, but only 7.64 billion dollars (less than 17pc) had been received by the end of July this year, a vast shortfall compared to the previous year.  While some help comes from private sources and government bodies, it is far from enough. According to the official, there is a need for urgent intervention, warning that further delays could result in more deaths and worsening displacement.

The International Organisation for Migration (IOM) has mapped about 146 displacement sites as of August. In Tigray Regional State, most sites are in school compounds, disrupting the host community’s education. Humanitarian partners have built 12 dedicated camps in the region and four in Amhara Regional State, yet conditions remain difficult. Since the conflict began in 2020, 56 organisations, including UN agencies and Ethiopia’s Disaster Risk Management Commission, have provided aid, distributing over 688,000 kits containing bedding, kitchenware, and hygiene items.

Nearly one million people have received plastic sheeting, but overall humanitarian supplies are increasingly strained as funding for shelter and non-food aid has sharply declined since 2024 and continues to fall.

A west Tigray zone under the Tigray Interim Administration, led by Gedey Azenew, is monitoring the situation at Hitsats camp, where more than 14,000 displaced people live. According to Gedey, over 330 recent deaths from “high-level starvation” were reported, and he warned that prolonged displacement weakens immunity and increases vulnerability to health complications. Food assistance from NGOs, which is limited to 15Kg of sorghum and one litre of oil per person per month, has proved insufficient, and many organisations have withdrawn their support. Restrictions on displaced individuals buying extra food have worsened the crisis.

“Aid from NGOs is of poor quality and, in some areas, not suitable for consumption,” Gedey told Fortune. “Beyond that, they only provide oil; no salt, no pepper, no money for grinding, and nothing else. At this point, lives are being lost to hunger and disease.”

Federal authorities accuse the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), the political party controlling life in the regional state, of diverting aid, which they claim has worsened food insecurity. Shiferaw Teklemariam (PhD), commissioner of the Disaster Risk Reduction Management Commission, has stated that humanitarian supplies provided by the federal government are being misused, with aid redirected through shelter centres and safety net programs for political ends.

“The humanitarian aid being sent is being diverted from its intended purpose,” he said.

According to Shiferaw, the federal government delivered two million quintals of humanitarian aid worth 32 billion Br to the regional state between January and December 2025, describing it as “reliable and continuous.”

Gedey countered this claim, focusing on aggregate figures that miss the deterioration in the quantity and quality of aid.

“The situation is beyond our capacity,” he said. “The federal government should not focus only on numbers but on enduring solutions.”

Gebrehiwot Gebreegziabher(PhD), head of the Disaster Risk Management Commission under the regional state, wrote a letter on December 24, 2025, to the federal Commission, calling for immediate intervention to avert a worsening humanitarian catastrophe. He stated that repeated appeals had not led to an adequate response, despite the crisis being raised during visits by senior federal government officials.

The Commission officials warned that food assistance alone is insufficient, as it fails to cover essential needs such as health, water and sanitation, clothing, and education. The crisis affects 147 IDP shelters in the regional state, with officials emphasising that the problem lies not in the delivery of food rations but in the lack of additional support. Tadese Werede (B. Gen.), president of the Interim Administration, warned that the crisis extends beyond individual camps and demands urgent intervention.

Fuel shortages have further delayed aid delivery, deepening the humanitarian burden. According to an official from the regional Risk Management Commission, “blaming each other won’t put food on the table.”

“The lives of people in IDP camps shouldn’t be turned into an arena for political games,” he said, speaking on condition of anonymity.

Abebaw Minaye(PhD), head of the Forced Displacement & Migration Studies Centre at Addis Abeba University, echoed this view, calling the response to internal displacement “inadequate and lacking a long-term vision.”

He criticised the culture of blame-shifting among authorities and urged political actors to keep humanitarian aid out of politics.

“IDP camps should be addressed as spaces of human suffering, not political leverage,” he said. “People in both regions are paying the price for political disputes. They should be seen first and foremost as human beings in need of urgent humanitarian support.”

After recently visiting IDP camps in South and North Wollo, he characterised displaced populations as “forgotten,” with camps evolving into permanent urban-like settlements that lack infrastructure.

“Unless the government works toward permanent solutions, conditions will persist,” Abebaw said.

He argued that while reductions in international aid have deepened the crisis, the federal government bears primary responsibility. He insisted that safe returns of the displaced, the allocation of new land, or the establishment of permanent settlements should be considered a way forward.

However, unaddressed and unresolved political disputes continue to block all three options. According to Abebaw, in some camps, food rations are distributed only once every three to six months, and poor-quality sorghum and broken water systems are adding to the suffering.

“Durable solutions are needed,” Abebaw told Fortune. “Until resettlement happens, people must be fed. Too often, discussions focus on plans while ignoring immediate survival.”

New Customs Rules Put Importers Anxious

Importers are voicing growing frustration over a new customs valuation directive that sets a 15-day window for challenging base prices set by the Ethiopian Customs Commission.

The directive, which governs how the value of imported goods is determined for tax and duty purposes, has come under scrutiny from traders who claim it imposes unrealistic demands that could inflate costs and exacerbate sector-wide pressures.

The directive lays out the legal framework used by the Ethiopian Customs Commission to determine the value of imported goods for tax and duty purposes, a process that directly affects customs duties, excise taxes, value-added tax and surtaxes. Because valuation determines the tax base, even modest adjustments can raise costs for traders and ripple across the wider economy.

Ethiopia’s total merchandise imports reached about 21.49 billion dollars in 2024, a 25.9pc increase from 2023 and the highest level of goods imports on record. With import value at this scale, valuation decisions have become a critical issue for revenue authorities and businesses alike. Customs officials argue that tighter rules are necessary to address long-standing problems of under-invoicing, inconsistent documentation and graft.

Importers counter that the new directive adds a procedural burden without adequately adopting how international trade actually works.

A base price settlement data system relies on international market prices when customs officers question the declared transaction value of imported goods. If they find the declared price inconsistent with their database, they often reject it and apply a base price instead. The directive states that transaction value, defined as the price actually paid or payable, should remain the primary method of valuation when credible documentation is available.

When doubts persist, customs officers may use alternative methods, including the value of identical or similar goods, in line with internationally accepted valuation principles under the World Trade Organisation (WTO) rules.

Importers who object to a base price determination are required to submit supporting documents, within 15 days, including purchase and sale contracts, bank-verified proforma invoices and official manufacturer price lists. If the importer fails to provide sufficient evidence by the deadline, customs officers may finalise the valuation using their reference data. Importers feel that this rule effectively forces them to accept customs values even when they believe those values are inaccurate.

According to an Ethiopian Customs Commission official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, the directive supports Ethiopia’s bid to accede to the WTO. It is intended to strengthen transparency and accountability in customs operations. He attributed inaccurate declarations and weak documentation to historically undermined revenue collection and eroded trust between customs and importers.

“The directive is meant to make the process transparent and traceable,” he told Fortune. “With accurate evidence, importers won’t be affected by over-exercise, and the government will collect the right amount.”

Importers, however, find the deadline intensifies pressures already weighing on the sector. They argue that gathering the required documentation within two weeks is often beyond their control.

According to Yeshiwas Ademe, an importer with more than 20 years of experience, the timeline does not reflect the realities of international trade. He imports electric vehicles, elevators and industrial chemicals, sectors that often involve complex supply chains. As an electric vehicle importer, he brings in between three and 10 vehicles a shipment, depending on demand. He is part of the 16,000 importers who ordered 300,000 shipments recorded in 2024/25.

“Providing the documents they ask for is almost impossible within the deadline,” he said. “Even two months would be difficult in many cases.”

According to Yeshiwas, foreign suppliers, banks and logistics providers operate on timelines that rarely align with local customs deadlines, particularly when additional verification is required. Manufacturers often impose minimum order quantities of 30 units, which forces smaller importers to rely on dealers or intermediaries. These dealers aggregate orders, handle procurement and deduct their commissions before purchase, but those commissions are not reflected in official manufacturer price lists.

“When the manufacturer’s price list doesn’t include the dealer’s commission, our documents don’t match,” he conceded. “This creates differences that make importers look dishonest.”

Such discrepancies increase the likelihood that customs will reject declared transaction values and apply base prices. Yeshiwas depicted the directive as one of several recent measures that have made importing more difficult.

“These days, it feels like every new rule is being tested on us,” he said.

Beyond vehicles, Yeshiwas imports about three elevators a year, each costing roughly 75,000 dollars, and brings in industrial chemicals about four times a year, with shipments valued at about 160,000 dollars. These imported goods are subjected to an excise tax of 27.5pc, making valuation disputes particularly costly.

Another electric vehicle importer, Zewdu Jemal, voiced similar concerns, focusing on how the base price settlement data system operates when transaction values are rejected. According to him, collecting the required documentation within 15 days is difficult, and failure to do so results in customs applying base prices derived from international market data.

“If we can’t submit the documents on time, the system sets a base price based on international data,” he told Fortune.

Zewdu argued that the system does not adequately account for how importers actually operate, especially group purchasing arrangements and negotiated discounts.

Many importers buy collectively rather than individually, a practice not recognised by the valuation.

“The data system doesn’t consider negotiations or bulk purchases,” he said, warning that this can inflate excise tax assessments.

Importers who fail to pay excise taxes on time risk having their goods seized, a threat that intensifies pressure on traders even when valuations are disputed. Zewdu imports between five and 10 vehicles a shipment, with prices starting at 13,000 dollars a unit.

The Ethiopian Chamber of Commerce & Sectoral Associations (ECCSA) has begun reviewing the directive in response to concerns from importers. According to its Communication Director, Teshome Wakjela, the Chamber is gathering information to assess the pressure the rules may place on importers.

“We’ve seen the directive, and although no official complaints have reached us yet, we’re gathering information on the pressure it may place on importers,” he told Fortune.

Teshome acknowledged that malpractice exists among some traders, and the Chamber plans thorough research before raising concerns with the authorities.

“The Chamber will formally present its findings to the relevant institutions,” said Teshome. “The issue could be raised through the Public-Private Dialogue forum. However, raising concerns doesn’t guarantee policy changes.”

Tewodros Kebede has more than 15 years of experience in Ethiopia and Djibouti, owner and manager of World Global Transit Logistics. He observed that valuation disputes often arise when importers source goods through intermediaries rather than directly from manufacturers. According to him, direct engagement with manufacturers allows importers to obtain official price lists that can address disputes. He also noted that over-invoicing remains a major concern for customs authorities.

“Some importers over-invoice to collect more foreign currency,” he said. “The practice contributes to foreign exchange losses.”

Tewodros blames outdated customs price databases that are affecting even importers complying with the rules, as they fail to reflect current international prices. He advocated for a government-affiliated body to regularly update global market price data to improve valuation accuracy. He urged that importers who fail to settle excise payments within the deadline face a 20pc penalty, a factor that often forces compliance even when importers disagree with customs valuations.

Addis Rings in the New Year at a Premium

As the world prepares to usher in the New Year, Addis Abeba, Africa’s diplomatic capital, is already in full celebratory mode. Across the city, hotels, restaurants, and entertainment venues are racing to meet heightened expectations, even as rising costs reshape the tone of this year’s festivities.

Nowhere is the shift more visible than in ticket prices. New Year’s Eve party passes have jumped by more than 30pc compared to last year, reflecting not only buoyant demand but also higher operational costs and an entertainment market increasingly tethered to foreign exchange pressures.

The city’s most anticipated events are taking place at international hotels, with the Sheraton Addis on Taitu St. leading the pack. The Sheraton is preparing for what many expect will be one of its signature and sought-after New Year’s Eve parties. The Hotel is well-known for its vibrant celebrations, and this year, tickets are priced at 25,000 Br, up from 20,000 Br last year, a 25pc jump. The tickets include food and drinks.

Nahusenay Ayalew, general manager of Pristine Marketing Group (PMG), believes the rise in ticket prices is not only a reflection of higher demand. He also sees it tied to the weakening of the Birr against major currencies and to international performers being paid in dollars.

The American R&B singer, Tremaine Aldon Neverson, known as “Trey Songz,” will be performing. Recognised for his smooth vocals and a musical style that blends contemporary R&B with hip-hop, the singer has released eight studio albums, including “I Gotta Make It,” “Passion,” and “Pain & Pleasure.” His best-known songs, such as “Say Aah”, “Can’t Help but Wait”, “Bottoms Up”, “Heart Attack”, and “Slow Motion”, are global hits.

Neverson confirmed his visit to Ethiopia in a video on social media, stating his eagerness to perform in Addis Abeba for the first time, on December 31, 2025.

Among those set to perform is Bizuayehu Demissie, a veteran musician with more than two decades of experience. Known for his soft voice, powerful vocals, and romantic songs, Bizuayehu first came to prominence in the 1990s, which many consider a golden age for Ethiopian music. He has released two albums, including “Salaysh”, and his presence at the Sheraton stage is expected to be the highlight for many partygoers.

Sharing the stage is reggae artist Natnael Ayalew, who goes by the name “Nhatty Man.” He shot to fame with his second album, “Nhatty Man Vol 2,” and has built a career spanning 15 years with five albums to his name. Nati Man is known for music with strong social messages that particularly resonate with younger audiences.

The Sheraton event will run from 6:00pm to 2:00am with Ethiopian musicians accompanied by Tora Band, founded by former Jano Band leader Kirubel Tesfaye, while Trey Songz will be joined on stage by his band. The night will also feature a DJ set and fireworks. Organisers expect between 3,000 and 4,000 people to attend as the city’s social scene gathers to celebrate the arrival of the New Year.

The Marriott Executive Apartments, on Haile Gebresellasie Road, is another hotspot for the evening.

The decade-old Hotel, owned by Sunshine Investment Group and operated under Marriott International, is hosting an event organised by Level One Entertainment. Led by veteran musician Shewandagn Hailu, the event will feature legendary musician Tsehaye Yohannes and up-and-coming performer Leul Sisay. Tickets at the Marriott are on sale for 4,000 Br, about 33pc higher than last year’s. The party will go from 9:00pm to 3:00am.

Unlike the Sheraton, Marriott’s ticket price covers entry only, with food and drinks sold separately, though there are special dinner-and-accommodation packages on offer. According to Nafkot Getahun, sales and marketing manager, guests can buy a package for 140 dollars that includes dinner, and an overnight stay, excluding breakfast.

“This is a special rate,” she said, “since the standard room price is 170 dollars.”

The Hotel has gone to great lengths to decorate and create a festive atmosphere. For those not interested in the full package, food and drinks are available at standard menu prices.

According to Shewandagn, the organiser, 50pc of the tickets had already been sold, with tickets available at the Marriott lobby and several local businesses, including Yimana Kitfo, a few kilometres away from Yougo church on Cameroon Street in the Bole area, and Koba Pastry on Cape Verde St, behind the Atlas Building shopping mall. He cautioned partygoers that waiting until the last minute may subject them to a 40pc price increase.

Leul, the young, up-and-coming musician performing at the Marriott, was excited about the event.

His debut album, “Leul,” was released two years ago and focuses on themes of love that have resonated with young listeners. Leul has been rehearsing with Zion Band, whose musicians will join him on stage, along. Enthusiastic about performing with Tsehaye, a veteran performer, he disclosed his plans to play around a dozen songs, both his own and those of well-known artists.

“I hope the event will be memorable for those who will come,” he told Fortune.

For jazz lovers, the Meskott Culinary Experience near 4 Kilo on King George VI St. is offering something different. Opposite Menelik II Preparatory School, Meskott is hosting a New Year’s Eve jazz night without an entry fee, though guests are encouraged to come early and enjoy the live music. Henok Mehari and his Mehari Brothers Band will perform, alongside international guests.

According to its Operations Manager, Wuibshet Lemma, prices for food and drinks have been revised for the evening. The restaurant expects about 180 guests, with the festivities beginning at 7:00pm.

On the streets, the build-up is being watched closely by young people such as Yohanes Melese, 23, who is counting down the days. Yohanes bought his ticket for the Sheraton through the Dashen Bank superapp and received a five percent discount, paying 23,700 Br. While he voiced concern about the steep rise in ticket prices, the calibre of the musicians made up for it. He recalled previous years featuring international stars like Davido and French Montana.

“Though this year’s lineup is less impressive, I still plan to go with friends,” he told Fortune.

But not everyone is happy with the direction of the city’s New Year’s Eve celebrations.

Dawit Solomon, founder and CEO of Ge’ez Creatives, who manages music copyright and YouTube channels for artists such as Kuku Sebsibe, Fikradiss Nekatibeb, Shewandagn Hailu, Abeba Desalegn, and Dawit Tsige, voiced concerns about recent trends in event planning. Dawit noted that musician selection, ticket pricing, and performer fees have all changed, with veteran musicians increasingly left out of major events.

He argued that promoters now tend to favour artists who can attract a younger crowd, focusing on viral hits, particularly those popular on TikTok. He was critical of event organisers for prioritising profit over musical quality, stating that artists over 35 struggle to find bookings. He would like to see pairing up-and-coming artists with established musicians, creating events that appeal to all ages and giving younger artists a chance to learn from veterans.

“Even artists with only one viral song and big online followings are being chosen over established musicians,” Dawit said. “This limits opportunities for veterans and affects their livelihoods.”

Dawit also bemoaned the absence of industry regulation, which has led to what he described as arbitrary ticket hikes, culturally inconsistent programming, and scattered advertising. He urged leaders of professional associations to step in to bring some order to the scene.

Coffee Exporters Face Squeeze Amid Projection on Production Surge

As global coffee production surges to record levels, Ethiopian exporters are facing collapsing margins and rising uncertainty.

A confluence of record harvests from top producers, softening international demand, and policy missteps at home is exerting pressure on what remains one of Ethiopia’s most vital export sectors.

Extraordinary supply forecasts from Brazil, Vietnam, Colombia, and Indonesia are driving the fear of a price crash.

Brazil, by far the world’s largest exporter, is expected to produce up to 49 million bags of Arabica coffee in the 2026/27 season, 30pc higher than the previous year. The rebound is largely attributed to favourable weather in the country’s central coffee-producing states.

Vietnam, Indonesia, and Colombia are also set to post sizeable gains. The United States Department of Agriculture projects global output to rise to a record 178.8 million bags in 2025/26. Although consumption is rising in tandem, currently estimated at 173.9 million bags, the widening surplus is feared to drag down prices across major exchanges.

The removal of a 40pc U.S. tariff on Brazilian coffee has heightened the bearish trend, while Europe’s one-year delay in enforcing the EUDR has caused a whiplash in demand dynamics. Buyers overstocked ahead of the regulation, then pulled back, reducing immediate demand and further weakening prices.

The International Coffee Organisation’s (ICO) composite index reflects this volatility. In mid-December, the price for Brazilian natural coffee plunged 10pc in two weeks, falling to 3.45 dollars a pound. Compared to the historic peak in December last year, the market has given up much of its gains.

For Ethiopia, where coffee remains a top foreign exchange earner, the timing could hardly be worse. Ethiopian Grade Five coffee, representing nearly 70pc of the country’s coffee exports, is now fetching between 2.59 and 2.80 dollars a pound. After factoring in freight, logistics, and finance costs, returns are barely covering expenses.

Exporters, the main ones being Daye Bensa, Kerchanshe and Tracon, could be under acute stress.

Gizat Worku, general manager of the Ethiopian Coffee Association, has warned of deepening losses, as exporters buy coffee domestically at inflated prices only to face slumping international returns. According to him, the pricing mismatch is driven by speculation and a failure of local markets to internalise global price signals.

“The recent price decline signals that further pressure on export prices may be unavoidable,” he said. “Exporters are buying coffee at exaggerated domestic prices and may face losses once shipments reach the market.”

Gizat depicted the current market as “unpredictable” and said exporters are under mounting pressure.

Historically, such losses were offset by profits from import operations, but Gizat noted this strategy is unsustainable. He is urging a recalibration of lower procurement costs, reduced speculation, and realignment with market fundamentals.

Officials at the Ethiopian Coffee & Tea Authority maintain a cautiously optimistic position. Deputy Director General Shafi Oumer sees no evidence of a dramatic crash. He cites Ethiopia’s growing market reach, now at 84 countries, with 20 new destinations added last year, and robust demand for high-quality Arabica as buffers.

He pointed to premium prices achieved for top grades (Grade One to Grade Three) and efforts to boost quality and mechanisation.

“We’re focusing on quality and market promotion,” Shafi insisted, downplaying negative projections as speculative.

He dismissed negative projections.

“Predictions are not facts,” he told Fortune.

Despite volatility, Ethiopia’s coffee sector generated 1.167 billion dollars in export revenue during the first five months of the current fiscal year, representing about one-third of the annual goal. Shafi attributed the revenue jump to higher quality rather than greater volumes and stated that earnings have doubled compared to three years ago. The country expects to ship 600,000tns of coffee this year. According to the Deputy Director, the Authority is now focused on quality improvement and helping exporters negotiate better prices, while shifting production strategies to emphasise mechanisation and cluster farming.

However, the reality on the ground says otherwise. Exporters report that the price of a single container of coffee has ballooned from four million Birr to as much as 30 million Br. At current exchange rates, exporters are losing up to five million Birr a shipment. Yirgacheffe coffee, a premium product, is selling domestically at 21,000 Br per 17Kg, but international prices are closer to 17,000 Br.

At the root of the pricing mismatch is rampant speculation.

Sani Tuki, an international trade analyst, argues that many exporters entered the market with exaggerated expectations, driving local prices beyond sustainable thresholds. He criticised pricing strategies based on sentiment rather than quality metrics, such as altitude, processing, and bean consistency.

“Quality has become the defining factor in securing higher prices,” he said. “These factors determine quality. Brazil’s coffee commands a premium because of its consistency.”

He also blamed government policy for exacerbating the crisis. Price floors and minimum export prices, he argued, distort supply chains, creating artificial demand and inflating costs.

“These policies aren’t grounded in stakeholder consultation,” Sani said.

He warned that bureaucratic burdens are further squeezing margins and raising systemic risks.

In response to the crisis, some exporters, including Horra Trading Plc, are shifting focus to farm-level production to reduce procurement costs and regain control over quality. Its CEO, Adem Kedir, believes vertical integration, owning farms and managing processing, offers the only viable path in a high-cost and low-margin environment.

“The environment has pushed me to focus more on farm-level production,” he said.

Aggressive entry by newcomers, lured by previous price surges, has made the sector more competitive. His 1,000hct farm in Sheka Zone produces coffee for around 15 containers annually, with company revenues fluctuating between 50 million and 80 million dollars.

According to Sani, the high profit expectations of exporters entering this season pushed local prices to 23,000 Br for 17Kg, with some exporters driven by motives unrelated to genuine export activity.

“It’s very volatile,” he said.

Ministry Digs Deep to Fix Farming While Fertiliser Costs Soar

Officials at the Ministry of Agriculture are setting in motion a strategy to reverse decades of soil degradation and unlock higher crop productivity, with the proposed establishment of a federal agencies, Soil Health & Fertiliser Institute and a National Reference Soil Laboratory.

Together, the initiatives are expected to inject science and data into a sector long constrained by outdated practices, low fertiliser efficiency, and inadequate soil knowledge, at an estimated combined cost of nearly 28 million dollars.

The Institute, with a planned budget of 5.1 million dollars, will serve as the foundation of a three-year plan to centralise efforts to improve fertiliser use and soil recovery. A more ambitious 22.9 million dollar investment will fund the establishment of the Soil Laboratory by 2028. Both institutions are formulated within a 10-year national roadmap that envisions agriculture transformed into a precision, data-driven enterprise.

The planned laboratory is expected to function as a regulatory and advisory nerve centre, setting analytical standards, validating local testing labs, regulating fertiliser composition, and guiding evidence-based agronomic decisions at the grassroots level.

Agriculture is the backbone of Ethiopia’s economy, accounting for approximately 31.8pc of GDP and employing an estimated 85pc of the population. However, the sector continues to face structural challenges tied to soil degradation, nutrient depletion, soil acidity, erosion, and inefficient use of fertilisers. According to the new roadmap, fertiliser application rates remain low, at 37.8KG a hectare, while soil organic matter and nutrient levels have dropped across many highland farming areas.

Developed by the Ministry and set for phased rollout, the 10-year roadmap puts a national reference soil and plant analysis laboratory at the centre of efforts to address longstanding gaps in soil testing, data quality, and site-specific fertiliser recommendations. The laboratory is expected to become a national quality-control hub, supporting standardised soil analytics, regulating fertiliser, and supplying evidence-based advisory services for farmers and agricultural institutions.

One of the main institutional pillars of the roadmap is strengthening soil information systems. While projects like the Ethiopian Soil Information System (EthioSIS) have laid the groundwork for mapping and data collection, officials acknowledge that gaps in coverage, analytics, and system integration persist, limiting the delivery of tailored agronomic advice to farmers. The new plan calls for expanding the National Soil Information System, developing a national soil spectral library, and upgrading digital geoportals with decision-support tools and interactive dashboards that can guide farmers and policymakers.

The economic urgency behind the new strategy is underpinned by a sharp rise in international fertiliser prices, with Urea trading at about 488 dollars a ton and diammonium phosphate (DAP) at around 771 dollars a ton. These prices represent a steep increase from previous years and have put additional pressure on Ethiopia’s agriculture sector, which has long depended on imported fertilisers to support production.

The federal government projects a total investment requirement of 3.2 billion dollars over the next decade. Of this sum, three billion dollars is earmarked to establish domestic mineral fertiliser manufacturing through public–private partnerships to reduce dependence on costly imports and the volatility of global prices. Additional financing mechanisms outlined in the roadmap include upgrading the Ethiopian Fertiliser Financing Mechanism and setting up a dedicated soil health research and innovation fund.

The roadmap also places strong emphasis on boosting domestic production of mineral and organic fertilisers, promoting green ammonia, and encouraging private-sector participation in distribution and advisory services. Youth- and women-led micro, small, and medium enterprises are expected to play an active role in producing and marketing organic fertilisers and soil amendments, as part of efforts to create new rural jobs and support sustainable farming practices.

The plan sets ambitious targets for the next decade. The authorities seek to expand land under sustainable soil management from 5.8 million to 12.5 million hectares, increase integrated soil fertility management coverage to 60pc of all farmland, reclaim three million hectares of acidic soils, and raise fertiliser application rates to at least 100Kg a hectare. Yield targets are equally bold, with plans to lift wheat productivity from 3.9tns to 4.9tns a hectare and increase teff yields from 1.8tns to 2.7tns.

Soil scientists also call for institutional reform.

According to Dejene Abera (PhD), a soil researcher at the Ethiopian Institute of Agricultural Research and a soil service management team leader, highly diverse soils require a detailed understanding through systematic analysis and research. Dejene, who studied in the Netherlands and at Haramaya University, stated soil characterisation is critical for determining proper fertiliser types and application rates.

He argues that this requires a qualified and standardised national reference laboratory capable of evaluating soil samples and overseeing the performance of other laboratories.

Responsibility for implementation will rest with the Ministry of Agriculture’s Natural Resource Development Sector, which will coordinate with regional bureaus, research institutions, development partners, and private-sector players.

Despite the ambitious scope of the new policy, officials are reluctant to speak publicly about the details. State Minister for Natural Resources Development at the Ministry of Agriculture, Eyasu Elias (PhD), declined to comment on the roadmap and the proposed institutions.

“It’s too early to comment on the plan,” he told Fortune.

Farmers’ unions, however, have voiced support for establishing a soil health institute and a national laboratory, citing longstanding issues related to fertiliser use, soil variability, and limited farmers’ awareness.

Abebe Markos is president of the Damota Farmers Union in Wolaita Sodo, which represents about 68,000 members and supplies more than 5,000tns of teff and wheat annually. A fertiliser distribution for the current season has begun, with the Union receiving 150Qtls of fertiliser. However, sales to farmers have not started because there is no officially set price yet. Abebe expects fertiliser distribution to start within the next two months, once pricing is set.

According to Abebe, soil conditions vary widely even within the same farming area, requiring different types of fertiliser and application rates.

“While woreda-level agricultural offices provide recommendations, affordability and limited farmer awareness often prevent proper use,” he said.

Many farmers apply less fertiliser than recommended, assuming they are conserving inputs, a practice that can reduce productivity. These challenges persist even where advisory support exists at the local level.

Similar concerns were echoed by Wube Gashu, president of the Ghion Farmers Union in Dejen, a town in Amhara Regional State. Representing around 15,000 members and supplying over 4,000Qtls of wheat each year, Wube saw how farmers often lack sufficient understanding of soil behaviour and fertiliser application.

“Farmers sometimes assume fertiliser alone guarantees production, without considering crop selection, timing, or soil recovery,” he said. “Farmers need to understand when to plant which crop and when the soil needs rest.”

Fertiliser access and pricing continue to shape how inputs are applied.

According to Gasha Assefa, a young farmer from Anbesame in South Gondar Zone, Amhara Regional State, fertiliser distribution has not yet begun in his area, as unions have not started selling the input. He grows wheat and teff on his family’s land, where rising fertiliser prices remain a major concern. Last year, fertiliser cost about 8,000 Br, making it unaffordable for many smallholder farmers like him. Hence, access and rising costs influence how much is used.

Gasha applies fertiliser by hand without knowing the recommended amount and often reduces it due to cost and availability constraints. His family uses compost for garden crops but not on larger plots, where the required volume is substantial. Last summer, he produced more than 10 quintals of wheat.

“I use fertiliser guessing,” he told Fortune. “I don’t really know how much I use.”

While universities and research institutions conduct soil analysis, the lack of a national authority laboratory makes it difficult to verify results or enforce standards. A national laboratory could provide benchmark samples and assess analytical work countrywide. According to Dejene, the laboratory should routinely compare its performance with international counterparts to ensure accuracy and credibility.

“We need an authority that understands our land and determines what type of treatment each soil requires,” he said.

Berhan Bank Outpaces Peers with Measured Gains, Old-School Banking

Berhan Bank’s most recent financial year marked a decisive turn for mid-sized private banks. The Bank’s performance over the 2024/25 financial year was one of strategic expansion, diversified income streams, and robust capital discipline that drove an impressive leap in profitability, all while avoiding the excesses that could derail such ambitions.

The most striking result was a 66pc profit growth, a robust figure but one that still lagged the fourfold surge seen at Addis International Bank. However, unlike banks whose improvements derived from a single event or windfall, Berhan Bank’s gains were spread across income categories and supported by lower credit costs.

The Bank’s gross profit grew to 2.51 billion Br from 1.51 billion Br in the previous year. Net profit jumped 76pc, and earnings per share climbed by 56.1pc to 546.97 Br. Berhan Bank’s Chairperson, Eligo Legesse, described the year as both “successful and transformative,” stating that the managment delivered consistent growth, a stronger balance sheet, and increased shareholder value through improved profitability and efficiency.

Incorporated in 2009 with 97 million Br in paid-up capital raised from 12,000 shareholders, Berhan Bank has charted a steady course of expansion. Paid-up capital rose by 24.3pc to 4.29 billion Br, reaching five billion Birr within three months of the reporting period. Among its  shareholders, Yohannes Hailu found the year’s results especially strong compared to previous periods.

However, he argued that the results could not be credited solely to the macroeconomic environment and cautioned that continued effort will be needed in what remains a difficult economy.

Much of the transformation was attributed to changes in the Bank’s governance following the appointment of the current President, Ermias Tefera, in January 2024.

His background was Vice President for Operations at Berhan Bank, Chief Inspector at Awash Bank, and Head of Credit at the state-owned Commercial Bank of Ethiopia (CBE), where his banking career began before a period at Enat Bank and as a private consultant. Ermias returned at a crucial time after his predecessor, Girum Tsegaye, resigned following disputes with the board amid slow growth.

The Bank has since revised its risk appetite statements and intensified monitoring, with Eligo voicing optimism about sustaining growth and strengthening financial positions in the coming year.

The surge in profitability was powered by non-interest income. Total assets expanded by 28pc to 58.96 billion Br, mainly driven by over 20pc growth in deposits. Cash and bank balances jumped by 51.2pc to 7.32 billion Br, pushing liquidity up to 12.4pc of total assets.

On the key measure of returns, Berhan Bank found itself ahead of most of its peers. The Bank’s return on assets  (RoA) stood at 3.55pc, outpacing Lion International Bank’s 2.3pc and exceeding the private banking industry’s average. The only outlier, Addis Bank, posted a return on assets exceeding 40pc, though that figure was due to foreign exchange circumstances unlikely to be repeated. According to analysts, Berhan Bank’s performance was less an anomaly than a product of deliberate, disciplined management within a challenging operating context.

Profitability at the operating level was unusually high, with gross profit accounting for about a quarter of total income. Asset turnover was less than 20pc, a respectable figure for a Bank whose portfolio was oriented toward traditional lending instead of fee-based business. The Bank’s leverage, with an equity multiplier of nearly seven times, was neither aggressive nor unduly conservative by local industry standards.

These three elements combined to produce an implied net return on equity of about 28pc, a figure that, while attractive, was rooted in sound banking practice rather than financial engineering.

Crucial to this outcome was the composition of income. Net interest income amounted to 3.95 billion Br, representing 38pc of total income, placing Berhan Bank closer to Zemen Bank than to Lion Bank, where two-thirds of revenue came from interest margins. The shift signalled a maturing business model, one less dependent on sheer balance-sheet growth.

Fees, commissions, and other operating income grew sharply, softening the impact of margin compression and credit-cycle volatility. Fees and commission income rose by 176.5pc to 2.09 billion Br, making up a substantial share of after-tax profit, while other operating income dipped by 18.6pc to 192.79 million Br. By contrast, Addis Bank’s stellar profitability leaned on an unusually low reliance on interest income, raising questions about how sustainable those returns would be once the unusual circumstances on the forex front vanished from the books.

On the balance sheet, Berhan Bank’s posture was more balanced than bold. Loans and advances totalling 34.53 billion Br accounted for under 59pc of total assets, less than Lion Bank’s 67pc but comfortably above Addis Bank’s more liquid position. The loan-to-deposit ratio fell slightly from 78.1pc to 77.2pc, considered healthy by prevailing industry standards, exhibiting that the Bank was using its funds efficiently while still maintaining a prudent buffer. In an industry prone to liquidity shocks, such a position provided valuable flexibility, enabling Berhan Bank to expand lending when opportunities arose without jeopardising stability.

Growth dynamics underlined a strategy of controlled expansion. Asset growth of 28pc exceeded Lion Bank but lagged the rapid 53pc posted by Addis Bank. Loan growth matched Lion Bank at 18pc, while deposit growth of 21pc helped keep leverage stable. Deposits ended the year at 44.74 billion Br, up 20.6pc. Notably, 62pc of deposits were in savings accounts, ensuring a stable funding base. According to Ermias, contingency funding plans and standby facilities would help manage liquidity pressures if they surfaced.

With an asset-to-equity ratio under seven times, Berhan Bank tracked the industry average. It was neither undercapitalised nor excessively cautious, running a balance sheet that delivered meaningful returns without straying into regulatory danger zones.

The Bank’s total capital expanded to 8.54 billion Br, lifting the capital-to-asset ratio to 14.5pc, slightly below the industry average of 16pc and well behind Addis Bank’s 24pc, yet more robust than Lion Bank’s 12pc. Capital adequacy was 16pc, comfortably double the regulatory minimum, though down a notch from 17pc the year before. Risk-weighted assets topped 44 billion Br.

“Capital buffers were built on strong core equity but would need to be reinforced through retained earnings, potential capital injections, and risk-weighted asset management,” said Ermias.

Asset quality supported the view that the Bank’s profits were not only a product of a good year. Impairment allowances amounted to 2.5pc of gross loans, while the annual impairment charge dropped sharply. Compared to Lion Bank’s provisioning ratio of more than seven percent, Berhan Bank’s credit cost profile appeared benign.

At year-end, impaired loans totalled about 1.62 billion Br, backed by collateral valued at 2.4 billion Br, mainly assessed internally. According to Ermias, conservative collateral valuation and restrained lending meant asset recoveries historically covered all loan values. The Non-performing loans (NPL) ratio edged down from 4.98pc to 4.78pc, remaining beneath the Central Bank’s ceiling. The managment attributed most NPLs to legacy exposures, with few new defaults, reflecting stable credit quality during loan growth and volatile macro conditions.

The Bank recorded income of 7.24 million Br from the reversal of prior impairment provisions. Abdulmenan praised the avoidance of new impairment losses. The Board Chairman credited the management and staff for balancing immediate results with longer-term sustainability, positioning the Bank for continued competitiveness.

While the economy remains cyclical, particularly in construction, trade, and manufacturing, Berhan Bank’s management has maintained tight underwriting standards. Loans and advances expanded 18.3pc to 34.53 billion Br, a pace considered reasonable given the Central Bank’s cap on lending growth. Most lending was focused on construction, domestic trade, services, and manufacturing. Some analysts raised concerns about sector concentration, especially amid political and policy uncertainty.

According to Ermias, the construction sector’s share of GDP justified such exposure, and the Bank’s portfolio is becoming more diversified.

“Most concentrated exposures are in Addis Abeba and major cities, allowing closer monitoring, while internal stress tests back up portfolio resilience,” he said.

Productivity metrics highlighted Berhan Bank’s relative efficiency. Net profit per employee was about 362,000 Br, twice Lion Bank’s level, though still only half that of Addis Bank. During the year, 18 underperforming branches were consolidated with nearby outlets while 11 new branches were opened, mostly in rural areas. The Bank’s network reached 376 branches by year-end.

At the branch level, Ashenafi Belay, who manages the Bole branch, noted that targets were exceeded. He described the Bank as “on the right track,” with profits holding up well in the new fiscal year.

However, branch expansion coincided with a notable rise in expenses.

Total expenses reached 7.8 billion Br, up by 59.9pc, with personnel and administrative costs accounting for more than 73pc. Salaries and employee benefits grew by 15.9pc to 2.41 billion Br, while other operating costs climbed 16.4pc to one billion Birr. General expenses more than tripled, outstripping growth in staff costs, while interest expenses increased by 17.2pc to 2.11 billion Br. While profit growth outpaced expenses overall, the underlying mix showed that cost discipline was emerging as a possible constraint.

Compared to Addis Bank, where two-thirds of costs were tied to staff and administration, Berhan Bank appeared burdened by higher general expenses. According to Abdulmenan Mohammed (PhD), a financial expert based in London, Berhan Bank’s cost structure should introduce some caution.

Ermias attributed foreign-exchange losses to a sharp depreciation of the Birr, which increased the cost of international payments and services.

“Headline expense growth didn’t imply inefficiency,” he told Fortune. “Much of the spending was on lasting efficiency gains and sustainable expansion.”

Deposits per branch, averaging about 118 million Br, were comparable to Lion Bank, indicating that consolidation has yet to deliver a decisive boost to branch productivity. Operational improvements were evident, but the Bank was not yet redefining efficiency within its peer group.

Nonetheless, Berhan Bank has navigated the past year with a strategic coherence that sets it apart from many mid-tier rivals. By diversifying its income, holding firm on credit standards, and leveraging capital judiciously, it has produced attractive, sustainable returns.

The Bank’s President attributed the results to a shift toward fee-driven digital revenues, a structural move to diversify income sources and reduce dependence on interest income. The Bank rolled out several digital initiatives, such as the CBS-24 core banking upgrade, Kacha FinTech for micro digital lending, and a fuel aggregator system. According to Ermias, these services are managed under strong controls and integrated with the Bank’s risk framework.

Analysts see Berhan Bank as an emerging outperformer, not a runaway winner. Its high returns were defensible, its growth was measured, and its balance sheet sat between the assertiveness of Lion Bank and the caution of Addis Bank. The main vulnerability lies in administrative costs, which have risen at a rate that is difficult to justify if revenue growth slows. In a less favourable economy, such costs could pressure margins.

For much of the past decade, the private banking industry has been distinguished mainly by branch growth and balance-sheet size, heavily influenced by regulatory constraints. The past year’s performance for Berhan Bank unveiled a shift toward competition focused on earnings mix, cost control, and capital management as much as raw scale.

The Bank’s investments in bonds and treasury bills jumped by 76.4pc to 6.35 billion Br. According to Ermias, such investments cushion the Bank against credit risks and provide a buffer during periods of default, even as policy volatility remains a systemic concern. Plans were in place to rebalance this allocation as securities mature.

The macroeconomic backdrop makes these strategies especially relevant. Ongoing inflation, hard-currency shortages, and uneven growth across sectors have continued to test asset quality across the industry. Banks that depend heavily on interest income and rapid loan growth remained vulnerable to policy changes and credit shocks such as the foreign exchange regime change in August 2024.

Berhan Bank’s increasing reliance on non-interest income provides a buffer against such uncertainty. Moderate leverage means adverse surprises are less likely to be magnified through the equity base. Compared to its peers, Berhan Bank exited the 2024/25 financial year with momentum and credibility. While not the most profitable or fastest-growing financial institution, it occupies a position many competitors would covet. In an industry often marked by extremes, Berhan Bank’s ability to deliver strong, old-school banking returns may prove to be its greatest asset.