In-Picture | Jul 06,2025
Bishoftu Airport, a new hub now under construction southeast of Addis Abeba, is being built on an unusual premise. Instead of the state picking a turnkey contractor and carrying the debt on its books, financiers will be allowed to pick their own contractors while a special-purpose company manages the billions of dollars in debt that will finance the project.
The design is meant to shield the Ethiopian Airlines Group (EAG), the flagship carrier, from balance-sheet risks and attract global capital.
According to Chief Commercial Officer, Lemma Yadecha, the managing group will shoulder initial costs until a lead financier is confirmed in July and key decisions are taken in December. So far, Ethiopian Airlines has injected 700 million dollars as part of these early investments, effectively front-loading its commitment before outside money is fully locked in.
A financing blueprint prepared by KPMG, an international consulting firm, for stakeholders a few months ago estimates the total project cost at 12.5 billion dollars. The figure is broad, bundling construction costs, financing costs, professional fees, and contingencies.
The financing structure is built on a simple 70pc-to-30pc debt-to-equity headline ratio. According to the draft, the debt requirement is nine billion dollars.
International interest has been mounting. Financial entities from several continents have pledged six billion dollars in potential financing and are now conducting due diligence. Last week, during a debt restructuring meeting in Addis Abeba, French Minister Delegate for Europe & Foreign Affairs, Eléonore Caroit, and Finance Minister Ahmed Shide formalised agreements that includes explore French participation in the airport’s construction. Both sides see the project as a way to enhance connectivity and trade.
Similar discussions have taken place between Ahmed and other government delegations. Major African banks and representatives from European countries, the United States, China and the Middle East have signalled interest. According to Lemma, however, details will be disclosed only once commitments are finalised in writing.
Advisers say the pattern of interest often mirrors the global map of aircraft manufacturing. The United States is home to established manufacturers such as Boeing and Lockheed Martin, which produce everything from large passenger jets to military aircraft and private business jets.
China’s push into aviation is led by firms such as COMAC and AVIC, building commercial aircraft like the C919 alongside military planes as they seek to compete globally. In the Middle East, companies such as Taqnia Aeronautics in Saudi Arabia and Mubadala Aerospace in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) focus on military aircraft, drones, and regional jets, often in partnership with established players.
According to experts such as Mered B. Fikre Yohannes, CEO of Pragma Capital Investment Advisory, these patterns of interest in airport projects tend to converge with the locations of major aircraft manufacturers.
The draft proposal for Bishoftu’s financing outlines three main debt tranches.
A 1.8 billion dollars (26pc) of total debt is expected from multilateral development banks and development finance institutions. Another 4.4 billion dollars (63pc) is projected from export credit agencies. The third tranche, 800 million dollars, is to come from commercial banks, private debt and blended finance sources.
Together, these tranches amount to seven billion dollars in planned debt. Project modelling, according to the draft, shows the structure can meet the required debt service and loan life coverage ratios under different scenarios.
To administer the finances and shield the Airline’s main balance sheet, the EAG has opted for a special-purpose company model, which will manage the debt, construction and operations until the obligations are repaid.
“That is why we don’t get the debt under the Group’s name,” Lemma said, conceding the Airline’s balance sheet cannot absorb the new borrowing.
Lemma disclosed that the debt is expected to be paid off within 10 to 12 years. The special-purpose company will be dissolved, and ownership will be transferred back to the Group. Until then, the special-purpose entities will serve as administrators, and the Airline will be a customer of Bishoftu International Airport once it begins operations, which is planned to open in three years.
Clearing the site began last year alongside a resettlement and compensation programme for 2,731 households displaced by the project. Local authorities are building villa-style housing on plots ranging from 105Sqm to 500Sqm. Construction is underway for 1,359 residential units at a project cost of 14.7 billion Br.
Site development works, such as paved roads, water and power supply, telecoms and other utilities, are progressing at a cost of around 5.3 billion Br. The package includes monthly stipends of about 10,000 Br for one year, health insurance and free access to public services. The total cost of these transitional measures is about 850 million Br. The Oromia Regional State is separately overseeing the construction of schools and health centres for the resettled communities.
Traffic projections for the combined Addis Abeba–Bishoftu system are ambitious. Passenger demand is forecast to reach 34 million to 36 million a year by 2030 and between 103 million and 144 million by 2060. Transit traffic on international routes is expected to remain dominant, accounting for 63pc to 70pc of total passengers. Air cargo is also projected to grow strongly, reaching 1.1 million to 1.2 million tonnes by 2030 and 3.2 million to 4.5 million tonnes by 2060.
Under the current plan, Bole International Airport will continue to handle up to 95pc of domestic passenger traffic. The new airport is designed to take over all international passenger traffic, most of it international-to-international transfer passengers. Bishoftu will also handle international belly cargo and freighter operations.
Global demand trends appear to support the growth story. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) reported record passenger market performance for 2025, with overall demand up 5.3pc from 2024. International demand grew by 7.1pc, while capacity increased 6.8pc, lagging behind demand. Domestic demand grew by 2.4pc, with domestic capacity up 2.5pc.
African airlines saw traffic rise 7.8pc in 2025 compared to the previous year. In December alone, traffic for African carriers increased 10.3pc year on year, with Ethiopian Airlines accounting for a major share of that growth.
IATA identified supply-chain constraints as the industry’s biggest headache in 2025. Airlines faced delayed deliveries of new aircraft and engines, and tight maintenance capacity. These bottlenecks drove cost increases estimated to exceed 11 billion dollars.
Those strains were echoed by Mesfin Tasew, CEO of EAG, who briefed the media last week on the Airline's half year performance.
A limited number of aircraft is making it difficult to start new routes to destinations such as Australia," he said.
The Airline is due to receive wide-body aircraft suited for long-haul flights to Australia, and new services are expected to begin in about two years. Mesfin sees that as the starting point for those operations. The Group plans to reach more than 200 countries, twice its current number of destinations, as the new airport comes online.
Ethiopian Airlines plans to increase its fleet by more than 92pc, from 165 aircraft in 2025. The plan envisages 202 international passenger aircraft and 37 freighters. Over the same period, the network is projected to grow from more than 167 destinations in 2025 to about 207 a decade later.
The Airline currently has 22 aircraft on order and has been investing heavily beyond the Bishoftu project.
In West Africa, it holds a minority stake of about 23pc and 27pc in ASKY Airlines, based in Lomé, Togo. In Southern Africa, it acquired a 49pc stake in Malawi Airlines in 2013 through a joint venture with the Malawian government. In Zambia, Zambia Airways operates as a joint venture, with the Zambian government owning 55pc. A year ago, the Group launched Air Congo in Kinshasa with the DR Congo’s government, which owns 51pc, while the Group keeps a 49pc stake and manages the airline.
Two of these foreign airline investments, ASKY Airlines and Malawi Airlines, have started generating profits. Air Congo, which currently has two planes, is expected to lease five more this year, and the Zambian operation is still in the investment stage.
Ethiopian Airlines has also looked beyond passenger traffic. In July 2025, it announced a new logistics corridor linking Ethiopia, Djibouti and China to cut shipping times and costs. The corridor is intended to ease a bottleneck at Djibouti’s airport, which handles no more than 50tns of cargo a day.
Air freight between Djibouti and Addis Abeba can cost up to three times more than trucking and is often constrained by runway and warehouse capacity. The proposed tri-modal corridor, combining sea, land and air links, was designed as a workaround. However, Mesfin disclosed that the plan has not yet been implemented even though cargo now accounts for 1.87 billion dollars, 22pc of revenue.
Domestically, the Group is upgrading its airport network, with new domestic flight destinations being renovated and expanded. A fourth terminal at Addis Abeba Bole Airport, dedicated to domestic services, is due to open within a month. Airports in Jimma, Shire, Neqemt and Dembidolo are being refurbished, with completion expected in a few months. Renovations at Jimma and Bahir Dar airports are slated to be finalised by August this year.
Many experts agree that Ethiopian Airlines shows operational capability and contributes around nine percent of the country’s total GDP, while its geographic position offers a strategic advantage. In Mereed's view, Bishoftu Airport, managed through a ring-fenced financing vehicle, could extend that role if the complex structure now being assembled holds together.
The choice of the special-purpose company model for Bishoftu has divided experts.
According to aviation specialist Yonatan Menkir, the structure is widely used, and contractors' circumstances often shape how projects are capitalised, drawing a parallel with how airlines borrow. Mereed disagreed. He argued that a new company offers a “clean balance sheet” for financiers, providing greater transparency and building greater trust.
Yonatan also believes the Airline needs to improve efficiency at domestic terminals. He noted the absence of transport services suited to night-time travel, arguing that a route that currently takes 16 hours could be handled more efficiently if eight additional night flights were scheduled, which would also ease daytime congestion. He observed how some domestic terminals were opened based on feasibility and profitability studies that have not fully materialised, leaving them underused.
“The airline is acting like an island,” he said, pointing to the wider difficulties in the country.
For Mered, there is little doubt about the Airline’s prospects.
“There is no question over the profitability of the airline," he told Fortune. "The market speaks for itself.”
PUBLISHED ON
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