Stop the Fear-Mongering, Let's Make the World Better

Aug 12 , 2023
By Bjorn Lomborg , Jordan B. Peterson (PhD)

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The meaningful exchange of truly diverse ideas and perspectives has withered over recent decades. Unorthodox thinking is increasingly trashed or disregarded, even as the chattering class's fear- and force-predicated approaches repeatedly prove inadequate to cope with the true complexities and crises of the modern world.

We need instead to foster and promote critical thinking and constructive discussion. We are making every effort to ensure that our new Alliance for Responsible Citizenship (ARC), an international coalition of politicians, business leaders, public intellectuals and cultural commentators, will help ensure that a broader range of perspectives can be heard globally.

Consider the world's response to the Covid pandemic. A panic-stricken lockdown orthodoxy far too soon took hold, and those whose policy proposals deviated quickly were labelled "Covid deniers". Governments that went the farthest were feted by public intellectuals and in newspaper opinion pages. The obvious downsides to universal lockdowns were ignored by those striving to garner credit for simple-minded immediacy of response. Thus, we saw increases in income distribution and wealth inequality, widespread loss of employment, substantive declines in spending, general deterioration in economic conditions, severe declines in mental health and well-being, delayed and diminished access to healthcare, and record high levels of domestic violence.

Children's education was particularly affected: school closure, on average, robbed children of more than seven months of education. According to research by the World Bank, UNESCO, and UNICEF, the significant impact on kids' knowledge could cost 17 trillion dollars in lifetime earnings. Poor children, girls, and children with disabilities suffered the most significant losses.

We need to have a serious conversation about our manner of response before the next crisis —pandemic or otherwise— to ensure that the cure is not much worse than the disease.

Consider the alarmist treatment of climate change. Campaigners and news organisations play up fear in the form of floods, storms, and droughts, while neglecting to mention that reductions in poverty and increases in resiliency mean that climate-related disasters kill ever fewer people. Over the past century, deaths have dropped 97pc. Heatwaves capture the headlines. Globally, however, cold kills nine times more people. The higher temperatures arguably characterising this century have resulted in 166,000 fewer temperature-related deaths.

Fear-mongering and the suppression of truly inconvenient truths are pushing us dangerously toward the wrong solutions: politicians and pundits call en masse for net-zero policies that will cost far beyond 100 trillion dollars, while producing benefits a fraction at large. We need to be able to have an honest discussion of costs and benefits—a true reckoning with the facts to find the best solutions.

We also need to conduct a more mature conversation about how to help better the four billion people living in the world's poorer half. The UN promises everything imaginable in the form of its Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): the end to extreme poverty, hunger, and disease; reduction of inequality and corruption; cessation of war; amelioration of climate change; universalisation of education—even ease of access to urban parks. But a plan that makes all problems the same compelling crisis without prioritisation is no plan at all, merely a recipe for the appearance of action and virtue.

This year sits at the midpoint between the start of the goals in 2016, and their hypothetical attainment in 2030. We are now at halftime, but nowhere near close to halfway there. Even the UN Secretary-General admits that the Goals are "far off track".

We must zero in on the most efficient solutions first. More than 100 economists and several Nobel laureates working with the Copenhagen Consensus think-tank have identified the most promising and effective SDG targets. We could, for example, virtually eliminate tuberculosis, which needlessly still kills more than a million people each year, for an additional 6.2 billion dollars a year. We could invest 5.5 billion dollars more in agricultural research and development in low-income countries to increase crop yields, help farmers produce more and consumers pay less, reducing the number of hungry people by more than 100 million a year.

There are a dozen areas where much could be done for comparatively little money. We could efficiently and quickly boost learning in schools—vital after Covid lockdowns—save mothers' and newborns' lives, tackle malaria, make government procurement much more efficient, improve nutrition, increase land tenure security, turbo-charge the effects of trade, advance skilled migration, and increase child immunization rates. These 12 sensible and implementable policies could save more than four million lives a year, and generate economic benefits worth over a trillion dollars (primarily in poorer countries) for an outlay of 35 billion dollars a year for the next seven years.

The new Alliance for Responsible Citizenship (ARC) forum can help us positively envision the future, emphasising the ability of the world's properly competing and cooperating people to solve whatever problems confront us, as we have often and often so effectively done in the past. The Alliance thinkers gather from around the world to do precisely that—enough panicked fear-mongering.

We can focus on what is truly important and attainable, initiate and reward a more nuanced global discussion about the problems that will always beset us, and look forward confidently to a more abundant world laden with opportunity, sustainability, and hope.

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PUBLISHED ON Aug 12,2023 [ VOL 24 , NO 1215]

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