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Best to Ease the Transition


January 12 , 2019 . By Christian Tesfaye


The procedure followed to increase rents for commercial units managed by the Federal Housing Corporation was crude, to say the least. A sudden average increase of 2,090pc on rental fees, however low the original cost, was bound to incur resistance by those directly affected by it.

Businesses are like people. We live within our means or sometimes beyond it. And when incomes fall, it takes time to adjust even where circumstances may have been grossly in our favour.

The same goes for the businesses who found out that their rents would go up in a dramatic fashion with little time to adjust. Fortunately, the Corporation took a cue from the Ethiopian Electric Utility and allowed rental adjustments to take place in gradual increments.

Tenants of commercial units, about 6,128 of them, will pay a third of the total increase during the first year, followed by yearly escalations that reach the final figure within 36 months. The Corporation has also promised to revisit the rental adjustments of some of the tenants.

Despite the initial stumble, it is encouraging to see the Corporation come back from the precipice. For any administration, a dreaded political scenario is to be required to make cutbacks in the face of low revenues, high spending and subsidies. The Corporation, like the utility company, has passed this crucial test - impressive given the complicated political situation the nation is faced with.

These measures should be applied by the government in the gargantuan task of addressing the nation’s macroeconomic predicaments. It should be able to see the big picture and refrain from getting into bed with policies that take stock only of short-term impacts.

Large government spending and subsidies are easy to implement and beneficial to incumbents’ political survival where the alternative can turn out to be very ugly. This was a predicament the French President Emmanuel Macron fell into and had to concede through increases in minimum wages and tax cuts as protests rocked the nation after the price of fuel rose. Matters can get out of hand very easily, grow past the initial points of demand and be sabotaged by political entrepreneurs for their own ends.

It is thus crucial for a government, when circumstances call for austerity, to be able to present alternatives for problems that are bound to be caused by its long-term policies.

Ethiopia is faced with the same problems as the French. There is a government set on cutting expenses and a public worried about the short-to-medium term consequences of the effects of such policies. As far as economics is concerned, there is no panacea to this problem. The suffering during the transition from a government-centric to a private-led economy is unavoidable; if it was, governance and policy-making would be child’s play.

The transition can be cushioned, however. The Corporation’s experience shows that the way new policies are rolled out matter just as much as the policies themselves. There should be transparency, public discussions and processes in place to ensure that transitions and adjustments are as smooth as they possibly can be.

This means focusing on how to make government efficient. If it cannot deliver by growing the economy through spending, then it should be able to facilitate development by regulating better. It is a better bargain because the government is rarely more efficient in providing services and goods than the private sector.

Its efficiency is not merely crucial for dealing with the economy after austerity and the opening up of the economy, but in easing the transition for those that will find making adjustments difficult. It can also make the long-term outlook more promising.



PUBLISHED ON Jan 12,2019 [ VOL 19 , NO 976]



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