November 2 , 2019
The presence of high demand in Kenya and the improving market functionality in South Sudan has led to increased export from Uganda with maize grain on top of the commodity trade in the regional markets in the third quarter of 2019. It is also expected that the availability of maize in the Eastern Africa region will be lower between July 2019 and June 2020 than the previous year. Uganda has expanded its supplies of dry beans to South Sudan while Tanzania and Ethiopia have increased their exports to Kenya, leading to the regional trade in dry beans exceeding the recent five-year average. As Uganda is the main producing country with Kenya and Somalia the main consumers in the regional markets, the June-to-July harvest was registered below to near average maintaining the last five-year average lever of maize production. Staple food commodity parity price trends (expressed in US dollars per MT) were relatively higher in Kenya, South Sudan, Rwanda and Burundi due to lower production, poor economic conditions and/or border restrictions. The tight supplies and the high costs of marketing in maize and sorghum would help maintain the elevated prices of these commodities in October 2019. Rice trade remained high because of persistent high demand in the region. Regional trade in livestock is expected to remain low between October 2019 and March 2020 as demand declines following the end of religious festivities during July-to-August.
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