Fitch Acknowledges Easing Financial Pressures, Enhanced Macroeconomic Stability


Fitch Acknowledges Easing Financial Pressures, Enhanced Macroeconomic Stability

Fitch Ratings has upgraded Ethiopia's Long-Term Local-Currency Issuer Default Rating (LTLC IDR) to 'CCC+' from 'CCC-', citing easing financing pressures, improved macroeconomic stability, and increased confidence that local-currency obligations will not be part of the ongoing debt restructuring. This positive development comes as the government implements key reforms and secures renewed concessional external financing. The ratings agency has taken note of the introduction of a market-based exchange rate and the introduction of an interest-rate based monetary policy regime, saying the measures aim to reduce financial repression and contain inflation. Also a factor is the decreased reliance on domestic financing owing to expected disbursements from the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) new four-year Extended Credit Facility Arrangement with an immediate disbursement of one billion dollar from a total 3.4 billion dollar  funding. Ethiopia is also phasing out non-market-based financing of fiscal deficits, with NBE conducting market-based auctions of treasury bills. While Fitch notes that Ethiopia remains in default on its foreign-currency debt obligations, it has made progress on its external debt restructuring under the Common Framework. Negotiations are ongoing, and the government is expected to reach an agreement with the official creditor committee by the end of 2024. Fitch concludes that overall Ethiopia's economic outlook is improving, with easing financing pressures and a renewed commitment to reform. However, challenges remain, including the ongoing debt restructuring and potential rollover risks as borrowing costs rise.

[ssba-buttons]

Radar

New Directive Hikes Service Fees for Foreign Investors in Free Trade Zones

The Ethiopian Investment Board has issued a new directive revising the service fees from foreign investors payable in dollars to the Ethiopian Investment Commission (EIC), introducing updated rates for both the One Stop Shop and designated Free Trade Zones. The revised directive came into effect this April following its publication on the websites of the Ministry of Justice and the EIC. Issued pursuant to Article 23 of the Special Economic Zone Proclamation, the directive outlines charges for...


Radar

City Tables 350B Br Budget Plan for Upcoming Fiscal Year

The City Administration has approved a resolution to submit a proposed budget of 350 billion Br for the 2025/26 fiscal year to the City Council for deliberation. According to the Administration's statement on its official social media page, the draft budget is designed with a central focus on poverty reduction, encompassing targeted subsidies for sustainable development, investment in large-scale job-creating projects, and enhanced service delivery to address the growing demands of the reside...


Radar

Ethiopia, UN Launch Joint Plan to Drive Development Through 2030

The Ethiopian government and the United Nations (UN) have signed a five-year development plan outlining national priorities from 2025 to 2030. Signed on June 20 at the Ministry of Finance, the United Nations Sustainable Development Cooperation Framework (UNSDCF) with implications that it aligns with Ethiopia's reform goals and the Sustainable Development Agenda. The plan is backed by a projected 6.5 billion dollars, though only 1.5 billion dollars is currently secured. It focuses on closing t...