Shaggar City’s Bold Reforms Deserve Fair Reporting, Not Fortune’s Misdirection

Dear Editors,

Your March 9, 2025, coverage on Shaggar City Administration inaccurately portrayed our efforts as harmful to private investment in the name of revenue mobilisation. This depiction does not reflect reality.

Over the past two years, the Shaggar City Administration has focused on strengthening the rule of law and ensuring efficient resource utilisation. Actions undertaken included accurately valuing and grading land, rectifying unlawful land access practices, and addressing issues of investors who previously acquired land beyond legal allocations. Importantly, these necessary corrections were implemented by revising land lease prices and strictly adhered to national and regional land regulations.

Contrary to your report, not a single investment ceased operations due to these measures. The Administration carefully assessed individual financial and production capacities of investors and employed varied strategies to sustain operations. These thoughtful and innovative approaches improved the investment climate.

As evidence, more than 1,000 previously stalled investment projects have either begun operations or completed construction following the establishment of Shaggar City Administration. We successfully addressed over 700 backlogged land allocation issues inherited from previously fragmented city management structures. Within the first six months of the current fiscal year alone, the Shaggar City Administration facilitated loan guarantees exceeding 15 billion Br for local investors.

Overall investment operational rates increased by 35pc within the two years of our administration. The city introduced online services, established clear investment standards, and developed comprehensive operational manuals to enhance transparency and accountability.

It is unfortunate that your coverage seemed aimed at undermining our efforts rather than objectively reporting them. We believe journalism should maintain professional integrity, accurately informing readers rather than misleading them.

Shaggar City Administration remains committed to developing a transparent, law-abiding, and investor-friendly environment. We hope future reporting accurately acknowledges our city’s achievements and potential as a vibrant economic centre, benefiting Ethiopia and the broader Horn of Africa.

Sincerely,

Teshome Adugna (PhD), Mayor

Shaggar City Administration

Tax Squeezed, Businesses Cry Foul as Penalties Mount

A new directive is beginning to shake up the tax regime with tougher penalties for non-compliance. Federal tax authorities are claiming to fight under-reporting and boost revenue collections. Under Aynalem Nigusse, minister of Revenues, they have revised penal rules for tax obligations hoping to enhance predictability and streamline tax administration.

Under the directive, administrative penalties are stricter, and penalty waivers are determined by whether taxpayers make timely and full payments of taxes, interest, and any non-waivable penalties. The revised rules also slash penalty waivers by 10 percentage points for unpaid or undeclared dues. Tax officials say this step is crucial to discouraging tax evasion, which they believe has eroded government revenue for far too long.

“Our tax collection has been undermined,” said Birrara Litgeb, the Ministry’s tax debt administration director.

He blamed historically low penalties that failed to encourage full compliance, contributing to the growth of under-reported and unpaid taxes over the years.

The federal government collected about 547 billion Br in tax revenue in the seven months of the current budget year, while interests and penalties amounted to 51.9 billion Br. Officials believe these penalties are critical for reinforcing compliance and driving revenue. The Ministry is working toward a combined federal and regional government target of 1.5 trillion Br in domestic taxes for the current fiscal year, putting its enforcers under pressure to crack down on overdue payments.

The directive escalates penalties for undeclared taxes from low to high, putting medium-level penalties on unpaid assessments. New provisions have also been introduced, building on changes to tax administration, excise, and VAT proclamations over the past five years. Departments that handle penalty waivers now have more explicit roles, and penalties are separated into low, medium, and high categories according to how severely they affect tax administration.

If taxpayers settle amounts due within 30 days of receiving a notice — whether from the tax review department, tax appeal commission, or court rulings — penalties can be reduced by up to 90pc for low-level, 80pc for medium-level, and 70pc for high-level. It represents 10 percentage points lower than the reductions available under the previous directive. For payments made between 31 and 60 days, waivers drop to 80pc, 70pc, and 60pc for low, medium, and high, respectively. Those made after 60 days only qualify for 70pc, 60pc, and 50pc waivers. If property has been seized because of tax arrears, those who pay before an auction notice is issued may see waivers of 60pc for low-level penalties, 50pc for medium-level, and 40pc for high-level.

These rules only address administrative penalties and do not cover interest on tax arrears unless a miscalculation derives from an administrative error. Once verified, branch managers are mandated to correct the interest.

Federal tax authorities hope that the new system encourages a more transparent and efficient tax environment at a time when many businesses complain of aggressive enforcement and complicated rules. They believe up to 90pc of a penalty may be waived, depending on how many subordination incidents an administrator finds. Complete waivers can be granted in cases of force majeure, such as natural disasters or serious illness, court-certified business bankruptcies, voluntary disclosure of tax errors before findings by authorities, and substantial property loss from verified disasters.

Low-level penalties may be waived entirely if taxpayers pay taxes, interest, and non-waivable penalties within 30 days of receiving a tax assessment or legal notice.

Despite these changes, many businesses argue that the government’s approach is too heavy-handed, accusing officials of layering bureaucracy and unpredictability onto an already challenging environment. Recent efforts to raise Ethiopia’s tax-to-GDP ratio by 0.5pc centre on VAT collections, which are part of a broader reform agenda advocated by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). In July last year, Ethiopian authorities agreed with the IMF to increase the ratio by four percentage points by 2027/28, using various tax reforms, including VAT.

Over the past four months, confusion has emerged as tax authorities have demanded back taxes, interest, and penalties from banks. Commercial banks say the new VAT law, ratified in July, caused a flurry of retroactive assessments for the prior seven months. The Revenue Ministry wants banks to comply retroactively from the effective date of the proclamation, which has triggered penalties and interest charges for undeclared taxes.

Bank executives claim having to pay steep sums even as they struggle to recoup uncollected VAT from customers.

“Banks are struggling with unfair tax requirements,” said Demssw Kassah, secretary general of the Ethiopian Bankers’ Association.

The Association has repeatedly pleaded with the ministries of Revenue and Finance for waivers or new rules. He says these calls have gone largely unanswered, leaving potential liabilities in the billions of Birr. The banking industry has also requested written guidelines for district tax offices to start collecting VAT on October 1, 2024, instead of the earlier date.

Sidama Bank, for instance, faces roughly six million Birr in unpaid interest and penalties. According to its President, Tadesse Hatiya, his bank has talked with tax officials about what he sees as an unfair levy.

“The bank has been affected by debts from interest and penalties,” Tadesse told Fortune. “It’s not communicated to us officially.”

Gedda Bank’s President, Wolde Bulto, is wrestling with similar issues. He worries that recovering uncollected VAT from past transactions is nearly impossible, which puts banks under added pressure.

“The financial impact on banks cannot be understated,” he said, noting liquidity constraints and performance struggles.

His bank lost millions of Birr in revenue to penalties and interest.

“We had no choice but to pay,” he said.

Officials at the Ministry of Revenues hold a different view.

Its Legal Director, Abere Asfaw, insisted ignorance is no excuse under the law, and that once legislation is ratified by Parliament, it takes effect immediately unless changed.

“There’ll be no compromises,” he told Fortune.

However, the directive does allow the Ministry and the Addis Abeba and Dire Dawa Revenue bureaus to grant total or partial waivers for extreme economic, administrative, and social hardship.

There are more than 50,000 taxpayers in Dire Dawa city. Its Revenue Bureau Head, Abdussalam Mohammed, claims some are unwilling to meet their tax obligations. Yet, he has seen improved awareness and compliance in recent years. The new directive, he believes, could further clarify tax procedures and improve communication between businesses and tax authorities.

“It’ll encourage more taxpayers to approach the Bureau proactively before punitive measures become necessary,” said Abdussalam.

In Addis Abeba, home to over 450,000 taxpayers, the Revenue Bureau continues to deal with alleged under-reporting, evasion, and a drop in willingness to pay. In the past seven months, it collected 98 billion Br, including interest and penalties.

“There is less compliance among medium taxpayers,” said Communications Director Sewnet Abate.

A recent study found that 64pc of about 123,000 Category A and B taxpayers either fail to pay payroll tax or under-report it. It also discovered that 44pc of employees at private limited companies were listed as not paying payroll taxes at all. The Bureau conducted price evaluations on more than 2,000 goods to set payment standards and limit under-reporting.

Sewnet believes stronger measures are needed to fight under-reporting.

The broader investment climate is also at stake. Last year, a European business lobby in Ethiopia released a policy briefing criticising the tax system for its “lack of transparency, unpredictability, and bureaucracy,” which drives some investors away. Leaders of the European Chamber of Commerce in Ethiopia, representing 180 companies, blamed “unclear powers” for tax auditors and an appeal process that requires a 50pc upfront payment. The group warned that inconsistent tax laws and directives create frustration, discourage investment, and impede growth.

For tax expert and scholar Tadesse Lencho (PhD), while penalties serve as a deterrent, the self-assessment tax system could be better aligned with punishment levels.

“Penalties are about deterrence,” he said.

According to Tadesse, a lack of consistent enforcement still weakens the tax administration. He pointed out that Ethiopia’s tax-to-GDP ratio dropped from 13.2pc to below 10pc over the past decade, citing rampant contraband trade, poor collection mechanisms in rural areas, and corruption.

“The factors are numerous,” he said. “Officials should address multiple shortcomings to reverse the trend.”

Tadesse also urged authorities to adopt clear oversight protocols and transparent enforcement to avoid unfair competition and the kind of evasion that undermines public trust.

“Oversights should be made clear and enforceable,” he said, arguing that efficiency and consistent application of penalties are as important as the penalties themselves.

Such reforms, he added, could help rebuild confidence in a system many view as overly complicated.

Coffee Bean’s Rebellious Price Surge Leaves Local Market Parched

Addis Abeba’s coffee culture is under siege as soaring prices ripple through every level of the market, from humble street vendors to bustling market stalls.

Fantu Welde, a traditional coffee pot vendor in Mesalemiya, is one example. She is forced to raise her prices by 25pc and now charges 25 Br a cup, a burden for her primary clientele: daily laborers. Where she once sold three liters of coffee on a good day, she now struggles to market two.

The price of her coffee beans has jumped from 650 Br to 750 Br in a single week, and the rising costs of her other offerings—water, beverages, and homemade bread—have made her business unsustainable.

“It’s not profitable anymore,” she said. Once a source of income that supported her son, her work is now a way to avoid solitude. Her customer base has dwindled by half from 30.

“Only people who can’t get by without coffee come now,” she said.

The concern extends beyond individual vendors. Across Addis Abeba’s local markets, coffee bean prices have surged. Mercato, the city’s largest open market, has witnessed price increases of 20pc over the past week. Low-grade coffee now costs 230 Br a kilo, an 84pc increase, while higher-grade options have risen to 1,100 Br a kilo, a 57pc jump in just three months.

Merchants like Tariku Mekit and Esayas Alemu are struggling with capital constraints and dwindling sales. Customers inquire about prices, but few make purchases.

“The local market needs reflection,” Esayas observes, stressing the urgent need for reassessment and support. The economic pressures are palpable, impacting the very fabric of daily life for countless coffee drinkers in a nation where coffee is a staple.

The price surge is not just a simple economic fluctuation; it is a phenomenon impacting the very fabric of daily life for countless coffee drinkers. Ethiopia’s strong coffee culture is reflected in its high per capita consumption of 2.3kg. This considerable domestic demand accounts for nearly half of the country’s total coffee production.

Even established coffee brands, like the iconic Tomoca Coffee, are feeling the pinch of escalating prices. Founded in 1953 by Zewdu Meshesha, Tomoca has become a household name, but is now grappling with unprecedented market fluctuations. Nebyat Ayele, their corporate communication and branding officer, reveals that the company has been absorbing marked price discrepancies since July. The cost of 17kg of coffee has skyrocketed from 3,000 Br to 11,000 Br in just a few months.

Despite consuming over 3,000kg of coffee daily across their 30 branches, Tomoca has resisted raising the price of their standard 95 Br cup.

“We are absorbing it,” Nebyat said.

However, they have been forced to increase the price of their roasted and ground coffee by 20pc, now selling at 2,560 Br a kilo. Recognising the unsustainable nature of relying solely on coffee, Tomoca has diversified its product line. They now offer honey, black seed oil, chocolate, sweets, leather goods, and fabric bags.

“The coffee business alone is not sustainable,” Nebyat told Fortune.

Rising operational costs, including a 50pc increase in employee salaries due to macroeconomic changes, coupled with higher fuel prices and shop rents, have further strained Tomoca’s finances. With 500 permanent employees and over 2,000 contract workers, Nebyat said the company is now relying on increased consumer demand and new product launches to maintain profitability.

The escalating coffee prices in Ethiopia are rooted in a complex, interconnected web of market dynamics, regulatory changes, and production challenges. Local vendors source coffee beans primarily through the Ethiopian Commodity Exchange (ECX), which deals in rejects from export-grade coffee. The ECX facilitates noteworthy local trade, with 90,000 tonnes traded in the past eight months, generating 17.7 billion Br.

A critical regulatory shift has occurred with the Addis Abeba Revenues Bureau’s implementation of a market-based Value Added Tax (VAT) system for over 2,000 products. This replaces previous bulk reporting with detailed sales lists, aiming to combat underreporting. Any discrepancies between reported prices and established market prices will result in VAT calculation based on the Bureau’s determined market value, according to Sewnet Ayele, head of communications.

“We update the market prices,” said Sewnet Ayele, head of communications.

The Bureau is actively updating market prices, and has already collected 113 billion Br towards their 230 billion Br target. Last year, the Bureau collected VAT from 40,000 taxpayers and has registered over 8,400 this year.

Adding fuel to the fire, coffee prices at the ECX itself have surged, with a 20pc increase in the past month alone.   Just 30 days ago, 17kg of washed coffee fetched 8,000 Br, and unwashed, 6,000 Br. Rewind a year, and those same quantities were a comparatively modest 3,700 Br and 2,600 Br.

“It’s a free market,” said Amare Mekonen, a communication expert at the Exchange. He clarified that pricing mechanisms fall outside the ECX’s purview, requiring oversight from the Ethiopian Coffee & Tea Authority.

Officials cite a combination of interconnected factors: the interplay of market forces, lucrative export markets, harsh realities of seasonal production slowdown, and the broader macroeconomic pressures.

According to Shafi Umer, deputy director-general of the Coffee & Tea Authority, seasonal fluctuations in February and March, when old stocks dwindle and new harvests are pending, are a key contributor.

He underlined the impact of reduced contraband trade, which previously siphoned off coffee intended for export. He credited the implementation of a new, robust tracking system for effectively curbing these illegal activities.

Shafi disclosed that a digital programme tracing each step of coffee production has been established, identifying 25 companies attempting to withhold coffee or failing to deliver to warehouses, with six companies facing compliance issues last week.

Last year, Ethiopia’s coffee production reached 833,000tns, with nearly half directed towards export markets. However, a disruption occurred as approximately 775tns of export-grade coffee, valued at 103 million Br, were illegally sold within the country.

This year, the plan is to export nearly half a billion tonnes, having already exported 223 million tonnes over the past seven months, yielding over one billion dollars, with expectations to double it.

Shafi attributes this export growth to rigorous management, including daily trade monitoring and exporter performance evaluations, with 80pc of exports handled by 140 companies overseen by nine senior experts.

Notably, Shafi stated that in response to international demand, the Authority has increased farmers’ selling prices.

The allure of lucrative export markets is real. However, underutilisation of 27pc of irrigable land suitable for coffee cultivation has also impacted the capacity to meet domestic demand.

While acknowledging unexpected rainfall affecting certain areas, he said that overall production remains stable, with productivity projected at 8.89qtl a hectare this year, exceeding last year’s average of 7.3qtl.

Ethiopia’s key coffee-producing regions—Oromia, Southwestern, and Southern—are experiencing a complex interplay of factors driving price increases, with varying perspectives on the root causes. While reduced production due to heavy rainfall in areas like Jimma and Ilubabur is cited, the Oromia Agricultural Bureau reports overall productivity gains, aiming for a 1.6 million-tonne harvest, exceeding previous targets of 1.2 million tonnes.

Conversely, Zerihun Hailu, a farm manager of a coffee farm under Midroc Investment Group, indicated production declined by two quintals per hectare due to excessive rain and labor shortages, with yields halved and workforce gaps hindering harvests.

The increased labour requirements further compounded the issue, as the farm requires 7,000 labourers for its 2,200hct but can only secure around 3,000.

“We use the people around the area,” Zerihun said.

Macroeconomic pressures, including fluctuating exchange rates, further contribute to rising prices. Mustofa Mufti, a Jimma Zone farmer and exporter, attributes prices, now at 9,000 Br for 17Kg, to international market trends. He prioritizes exports, despite local market plans, citing labor challenges.

A clear shift towards export is evident, particularly in Oromia. The Jimma Farmers Corporate Union, prioritizing international markets, plans a massive export increase, neglecting local supply.

“We aren’t planning to present it to the local market,” stated Wondwossen Bezabeh, export manager. This shift, despite processing losses and lower-grade coffee allocations, sees export targets soar, with existing contracts securing a significant portion.

Dejene Dadi, president of the Oromia Corporate Union, reinforces this trend, linking rising prices to international demand and local market pressures. He cites increased “carrying costs” due to processing, and highlights heightened competition during export seasons, driving up local prices. He also notes production shortfalls in Jimma and quality concerns across Oromia, despite its vast contribution to national output.

Southwestern Regional State mirrors the national trend of escalating coffee prices, with recent surges to 650 Br from 300 Br.

Mesfin Hailemariam, from the Agricultural Bureau’s Coffee & Tea Development Department, attributes this increase directly to international market fluctuations, stating, “It’s directly proportional.” He explains that coffee transactions from farmers to suppliers remain consistent, with price variations occurring primarily during processing and grading.

However, the region has faced significant production challenges, achieving only 32,000tns of its 67,000tns target for the past six months. This shortfall is attributed to high harvesting losses caused by inadequate care and unexpected rainfall, resulting in a yield of 7.4qtl a hectare, below the targeted eight quintals.

The export sector also faces hurdles. Buyers and exporters typically acquire 50-80pc of coffee cherries from farmers to meet export standards, selling the remaining portion locally. Financial constraints are limiting export capacity.

Abebe Amelga, president of the Admas Farmer corporate union, reported that they were unable to export last year due to a lack of financing. Despite owning a processing machine for four years, the union has only exported 91qtl in the past two years. This year, they aim to export 1,800 quintals and are seeking financial assistance. A request for 10 million Br in credit from the Corporate Bank of Oromia has been made by nearly 400 farmers, but collateral requirements are proving to be an obstacle.

Experts warn that the local coffee market is wrestling with a critical supply-demand imbalance, exacerbated by macroeconomic policies favoring exports. Negusse Semie (PhD), from the Institute for Policy & Development, notes that while export promotion boosts production, coffee’s long cultivation cycle creates challenges. He also affirms seasonal supply dips, mirroring global market trends. Notably, grower prices, though up 17.8pc (FAO), lag behind international market gains.

Negusse stresses the need for stable local supply to mitigate price volatility, crucial for livelihoods. He suggests increased production, but cautions that current conditions favor affluent buyers, squeezing small vendors.

“They have to rethink their business,” he advises, urging diversification and strategic adjustments. He links economic stagnation to low investment due to instability, and emphasizes Ethiopia’s need to strengthen its negotiation power against international financial institutions.

Business Consultant Mustofa Abdella echoes the call for diversification, noting that fluctuating exchange rates drive up vendor costs. He points to unpredictable supply shortages and the challenge of balancing wholesale prices with consumer affordability. Mustofa acknowledges the dual impact of export prioritisation: while it boosts farmer income and foreign exchange, it also diminishes local supply, driving up prices and impacting urban residents.

BREWS FEEL HEAT OF SPIRALING PRICES

Traditional coffee vendors in Mesalemia neighbourhoods embody a dilemma now playing out across the capital. Within a week, bean costs soared by 100 Br from 650 Br, forcing them to charge 25 Br a cup, an unwelcome hike for consumers. Daily sales have dwindled from three litres of coffee to two for some vendors, leaving stalls a shadow of their former self. The once-steady business of selling coffee is becoming increasingly unsustainable. The crisis resounds through Addis Abeba’s sprawling markets, most notably Mercato, where coffee prices have shot up by as much as 20pc in a week. Low-grade coffee that recently cost 125 Br a kilo has now rocketed to 230 Br, while higher-grade beans have climbed to 1,100 Br, a 57pc jump in three months. Vendors across the city say curious customers still approach them but rarely buy in the quantities of old. Ethiopia’s large portion of coffee, which has an annual per capita consumption of 2.3Kg, is consumed domestically, a factor that makes this surge especially wrenching for household budgets.

Tomoca Coffee, a near-legendary brand founded in 1953, is experiencing its price battle. The cost for 17Kg of coffee jumped from 3,000 Br to 11,000 Br within months, yet Tomoca has stood firm on its 95 Br cup price, despite absorbing a considerable financial hit. It has instead raised the price of its roasted and ground coffee by 20pc, now 2,560 Br a kilo, and turned to diversification, offering honey, black seed oil, leather goods, and more, to fortify its bottom line. Rising costs for fuel, shop rents, and wages for a workforce of over 2,500 people complicate any hope of breaking even on coffee alone.

Local bean supplies often pass through the Ethiopian Commodity Exchange (ECX). A recent policy change by the Addis Abeba Revenues Bureau has also played a part, replacing bulk reporting with a detailed, market-based Value Added Tax (VAT) system. The Bureau has already collected 113 billion Br of its 230 billion Br target, emboldened by the power to impose VAT on market-derived prices when discrepancies arise in reported sales. Businesses worry that such regulatory pressure, combined with already steep costs, leaves them little flexibility.

Many officials see the shortage as partly seasonal, with February and March heralding a supply gap between old and new harvests. They also point to diminishing contraband and lucrative export markets that draw top-quality beans away from local stalls. Ethiopia, which produced 833,000tns of coffee last year, plans to export nearly half a million tonnes this year and has already shipped 223 million tonnes in seven months, raking in over a billion dollars. A new digital tracking system is punishing companies found withholding stock or veering from warehouses, tightening the supply for domestic buyers. Farm-level realities pile on. Some regions face unexpected rainfall or labour shortages that halve production, while union-led export drives prioritise profit abroad, leaving local markets with higher price tags. Experts urge policymakers to ensure a stable domestic supply, warning that vendors with neither the capital nor the bargaining power to steer these global shifts could be priced out of the beloved coffee tradition altogether.

Transport Authorities Break State Monopoly on Logistics

In an unambiguous policy shift, the federal government has granted operational licenses to three companies, marking a decisive move toward liberalising the country’s logistics sector. It marks a departure from earlier restrictions that limited foreign ownership in joint ventures to 49pc, signalling a more open approach to promoting competition in the sector.

Dismantling the long-entrenched monopoly held by the state-owned Ethiopian Shipping & Logistics Services (ESLS), federal authorities have granted permits to the Ethio-Djibouti Railway S.C., Ethio-Railway Logistics Plc, and Gulf Ingot FZC Multimodal Operator. Their operations are set to commence within six months.

Senior federal government officials, including Minister of Transport & Logistics Alemu Sime (PhD) and Ethiopian Maritime Authority(EMA) Director General Abdulber Shemsu, issued the licenses last week at the Radisson Blu Hotel, on Marshal Tito Road.

“The companies have met stringent financial and technical criteria,” said Abdulber.

The issuance of the licenses comes amid growing concerns over the national logistics operation.

“Our logistics performance needs to improve in cost and time,” said Minister Alemu during the event. “Competition is crucial for that.”

The Minister’s statement reflected a broader recognition among policymakers that improving the efficiency of the logistics sector is essential for supporting the country’s economic growth.

Ethio-Djibouti Railway S.C. is positioned to be one of the early beneficiaries of the policy shift. A state-majority-owned company currently managing the 756Km railway line between Ethiopia and Djibouti, it is investing 300 million Br to transition from its traditional role into a full-fledged multimodal logistics operator. The company handles 14pc of Ethiopia’s import-export activities and has set ambitious goals to process 1.6 million tonnes of cargo in the next six months.

“We’re preparing the groundwork to enter shortly as a multimodal operator,” said Mintesinot Yohannes, director of Global Logistics at Ethio-Djibouti Railway S.C.

The company also faces issues such as lengthy clearance and documentation processes that have resulted in train delays of up to four days and extended container wait times at ports in Djibouti.

Ethio-Djibouti Railway S.C. also seeks to enhance transit times, cut costs, and boost annual revenues. The company recently secured a freight-forwarding license with a six-month revenue target of 23 million Br, outlining its strategy to diversify logistics investments and increase its market share in an increasingly competitive sector.

Ethio-Railway Logistics Plc represents another critical element of transport authorities’ plan to animate the logistics sector. A joint venture company between the Ethiopian Railway Corporation and GetAs International Plc, owned by Getu Gelet’s family, carries a paid-up capital of 350 million Br, with the state-owned corporation retaining a majority stake.

Samuel Getu, GetAs International’s chief operations officer (COO), stressed the business opportunity presented by the venture.

“We’re pursuing this for the business opportunity it presents,” he told Fortune.

GetAs International, a diversified conglomerate established in 1994, is well known for its involvement in import and export trade, construction, cement manufacturing, transport, farming, forex trade, and asset ownership. The latter includes a landmark property, Getu Commercial Centre, on Africa Avenue (Bole Road). Its long-standing presence in horticulture exports and robust transport arm, Getas Transport, which operates more than 200 trucks, positioned it to leverage its expertise in the logistics sector.

The third company to join the fray is Gulf Ingot FZC Multimodal Operator, a subsidiary of Dubai-based Gulf Ingot FZC Plc.

With a paid-up capital of half a billion Birr, Gulf Ingot is expanding its operations in the Horn of Africa market, having previously focused on unimodal dry-port transportation with a fleet of 160 vehicles. According to Yitbarek Zewde, board chairman of Gulf Ingot, the company’s plans are “extensive.” It intends to transition to full multimodal operations within six months, including investments in four ships and the pursuit of joint ventures with international shipping companies as well as partnership with Ethio-Djibouti Railway Corporation for railway transport.

For decades, the Ethiopian logistics market was dominated by ESLS, which managed roughly 90pc of the country’s cargo traffic. This monopoly had long been criticised for its inefficiencies and high costs. A recent study by the World Bank rated Ethiopia’s logistics performance at 2.94 out of five, citing major weaknesses in infrastructure (2.84), international shipment competitiveness (2.82), and time efficiency (2.89).

These deficiencies have been a source of concern for federal government officials and industry experts.

The Ethiopian Maritime Authority initiated the policy shift towards liberalisation, hoping to attract domestic and foreign investment to overhaul the sector. In recent years, the federal government has also issued licenses to companies such as Cosmos Multi-Modal, Tikur Abay, and Panafric Global, paving the way for broader participation in the logistics market.

Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed (PhD) has been vocal about reform. Citing the country’s poor logistics ranking — 126th out of 160 countries — he pointed out critical issues such as vessel inefficiency and exorbitant shipping costs.

The price for transporting a 20-foot container is 4,500 dollars, 429pc higher than in Vietnam.

The importance of these reforms is manifested by Ethiopia’s heavy reliance on Djibouti’s ports, which serve as the primary gateway for imports. Djibouti ports handle Ethiopia’s imports, which were valued at 17.9 billion dollars in 2023. Import volumes were very large. In the 2023/24 fiscal year, the country imported on the order of 19 million metric tons of goods. Export volumes were much smaller, roughly 1.2 million tons during the same period.

However, the performance of these ports has come under scrutiny. The World Bank’s Container Port Performance Index shows a drastic decline in Djibouti’s ranking from 26th to 379th, although Djiboutian authorities ferociously contested this rating.

Critics of the previous monopoly model have long argued that it led to inflated prices and inefficiencies.

Logistics veteran Kassahun Abberu (PhD), from Akakas Logistics Plc, was one such critic. He recalled that the multimodal sector’s monopoly created conditions that led to inefficiencies and increased export and import transportation costs.

“Nationalising the multimodal sector was a bad idea from the start,” he said. “While the current liberalisation is a step in the right direction, it should be fully implemented with relaxed financial criteria to allow more companies to enter the market and ultimately drive down costs and improve service.”

The call for a competitive logistics environment is echoed by private-sector voices, including Elay Trading Plc, an importer of laboratory and agricultural equipment. Its General Manager, Israel Taye, reckoned his company’s struggles with escalating shipping costs, noting that the price for a 40-ft container has risen to 6,800 dollars, forcing the company to pass on these costs to customers. He recalled delivery delays experienced under the incumbent system, with nearly half of the company’s orders arriving late, sometimes taking as long as two months instead of the expected 28 days.

“It’ll be beneficial to have more choices,” he said.

He is optimistic that introducing new operators will help reduce shipping times and costs while enhancing overall operational efficiency.

In Amhara Regional State, New Taxes Promise Growth, But Stoke Concern among Businesses

Local authorities in towns across the Amhara Regional State have begun enforcing newly revised tariff rates, seeking to generate revenue through municipal service fees. The regional government approved the regulation on December 18, 2024, which has begun in Bahir Dar, Dessie, and Gonder. Officials say the revenues will be used for infrastructure improvements and services that directly address local needs. In Bahir Dar, city administrators have drafted and approved a directive detailing how the revised taxes will be put into effect.

The regional state’s new regulation classified towns by type such as metropolitan city,  city administration, head and sub-municipality, and developing city. Each category will have its own set of tariffs. According to regional officials, transferring property titles or authenticating inheritance remains exempt from these charges, although standard service fees may apply.

The right to use leased properties is subject to tiered charges: three percent in metropolitan cities, 2.5pc in city administrations, and two percent in other types of towns.

According to local administrators, service fees are set to reflect the type and quality of services offered. Depending on the conditions in each town, fees can be charged at a fixed rate or as a percentage, guided by factors such as local demand for services and affordability. Annual sales for commercial and professional services will incur charges which have increased by 30pc to 60pc. Businesses will also see fees that have increased by 5pc to 20pc; and where fees are tied to specific locations, they may double, going from 10pc.

A new tariff covering emergency and fire services will range from 96 Br to 1,000 Br annually, depending on a commercial entity’s tax payment level.

According to regional officials, the regulation, designed to account for market conditions and economic stresses, is intended to address the budget gap often faced by the regional and local governments.

The Amhara Regional State has approved a 150.67 billion Br budget for the 2024/25 fiscal year, which regional officials hope will accelerate reconstruction and expand public services. The newly approved budget marked a 9.7pc increase from the 137.41 billion Br allocated last year. Regional lawmakers passed the budget in late July 2024, building on what had already been an unprecedented jump in spending during the previous fiscal year.

In 2023/24 alone, the budget leapt by roughly 42 billion Br compared with the previous year.

The regional state’s budget relies heavily on revenues generated from the region, which officials expected would cover about two-thirds of overall spending. Federal transfers, including a 46.9 billion Br block grant, round out much of the remainder, along with smaller external donations and special grants earmarked for Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) projects. Mid-year reports, however, painted a sobering picture. The region had collected only 25pc to 28pc of its targeted revenues, undercutting the budget’s ambitious assumptions.

“The regulation can effectively address the financial issues faced by cities considering current market conditions, inflation, and trade dynamics,” said Engdawork Gezahegn, tax affairs coordinator at the Amhara Regional State’s Revenue Bureau.

Engdawork disclosed newly included revenue sources, such as an entertainment tax and a 1.5pc hotel room service fee. Charges for waste management have seen an especially steep jump. Once between 100 Br and 400 Br a month, they are set to go as high as 5,000 Br.

“This can support those cities in preparing their annual budgets and finance infrastructure development,” Engdawork told Fortune. “Imposing tariffs will not adversely affect service providers.”

Previously, revenue collected by the regional state went into a broad mix of projects, whereas the revised system earmarks taxes more directly for the services that generated it.

“City administrations will now retain funds for core upgrades,” he said.

Among those feeling the changes in the tax regime is hotel operator Mohammed Bekele, a resident of Dessie town, whose establishment features 15 rooms, along with food and beverage services. Before the revised tax regime, he paid 400 Br each month for trash removal three times a week. Under the new plan, he expects to pay 4,000 Br for the same service. This year, he paid over 30,000 Br for development contribution and other municipal services.

“We’re being made to pay for numerous services now,” he told Fortune. The new rates, entertainment fees, and increased waste removal fees, on top of regular taxes, “lead us to wonder whether we can sustain our business.”

Mohammed remains concerned about low hotel occupancy. Security worries and inflation have led to fewer customers.

“Everyone advocates for paying for development, but the path to making and getting money is long,” he told Fortune. “We’ll be feeders.”

It is an expression conveying the strain his business is under.

The town’s authorities say they are poised to implement the regulation soon. They plan to draft local guidelines to meet the broader regional directive.

“Once the regulation is activated, we expect to see revenue increases that will improve infrastructure quality for our residents,” said Getu Bekele, revenue department coordinator of Dessie’s city administration. “We’ve big projects; this directive supports us to finish them and build new infrastructure.”

Dessie’s City Administration spent 673 million Br out of a planned 1.3 billion Br last fiscal year, to cover the town’s budget of 3.4 billion Br. Officials have collected 352 million Br by mid-year, mirroring last year’s plan.

In Bahir Dar, where the regional administration is headquartered, the city administration generates revenues through multiple channels, including taxes. However, certain provisions from older guidelines were seldom enforced. Fees for using bicycles and horse carts existed on paper but were rarely enforced.

“This regulation is revised considering current market conditions, pricing rates, and infrastructure development needs for cities and residents,” said Temesgen Andualem, a Revenue Bureau and Tax Education senior official. “Construction materials found on roads beyond their permitted time will now be subject to penalties.”

Regional authorities in Bahir Dar have issued a directive requiring timely payments. If fees are not met promptly, late penalties start at five percent for the first month and then two percent for each month thereafter, capped at the amount of the initial fee.

Recent property transactions in the region have also stirred local discussion.

A resident in Bahir Dar employed by a private company, Fentahun Tadeley, described how he paid four percent for an initial lease transfer and a land value when acquiring a property worth four million Birr.

“The government mandates various criteria for property transfers, such as proximity to roads and essential services,” he told Fortune.

The fee could run as high as five percent for a property sold. According to Engdawork, the new and old regulations have no other payment except for two percent, which relates to land tenure, and an additional two percent for stamp duties.

Revenue Bureau official Kefyalew Mulalem disclosed that officials in Gonder town have also moved to enforce the new regulations. According to him, the revised regulation includes two notable aspects: raised tariff rates and enforcing previously unused categories. Municipal authorities are looking to boost revenue from land auctions, construction permits, and essential service provisions, hoping to meet a 1.7 billion Br collection target this year.

“The intention is to ensure our city leverages resources comparably with others,” he said. “Some municipalities auctioned land for fees as high as half a billion Birr a square meter, while others only a fraction.”

Economist Atlaw Alemu (PhD) of Addis Ababa University viewed these moves as helping cities and towns generate their own revenue. However, he cautioned that it should be measured against real-world economic conditions. Atlaw stated local governments need peace and stability to enable construction, production, and other business activities crucial to sustaining the new revenue streams.

“It’s important to understand how much people can afford to pay during this condition and how many people are engaged in production,” said Atlaw, stressing the need to balance tax requirements with local economic realities.

In Tigray State, Businesses Struggle as War-Torn Region Faces Steep Levies

Two years after the civil war left Tigray Regional State in ruins, a contentious effort to rebuild the region is now underway as municipal tariffs have been reintroduced to fund essential infrastructure and services. The Urban Development & Construction Bureau, which had remained silent on revenue collection for four years and was under the embattled Tigray Interim Regional Administration (TIRA), has now approved sweeping changes affecting more than 1,700 services.

According to regional officials, the new tariffs, including a 0.2pc levy on services provided to investors when obtaining loans and increased annual fees for industries and commercial properties, are critical for generating the revenue needed to restore roads, buildings, healthcare centres, and schools devastated by the war.

The decision, signed by Getachew Reda, TIRA’s chief administrator, comes amid growing pressure to revive the regional state’s ailing economy. Municipal authorities have relied heavily on federal block grants for years, but those funds have proved insufficient to repair the extensive infrastructural damage.

“Revenues are necessary for the economy,” said Sishay Kiros(PhD), an urban development specialist with the Bureau.

The revised tariffs mirror similar measures taken by regional officials in other regional states, such as Dire Dawa city as well as Amhara Regional State. TIRA aspires to raise roughly 10 billion Br during the current fiscal year, a target regional officials believe will provide the financial source for comprehensive urban renewal.

The new tariff regulations include an increased annual service fee for investors, which may reach as high as 300,000 Br, a threefold increase from previous rates. Commercial property fees have increased to 5,000 Br monthly. Municipalities will also enforce a penalty regime for delayed payments: an extra five percent penalty in the first month and two percent for every subsequent month. In some cases, authorities have even authorised property seizures to ensure compliance.

While the authorities’ intent appears to drive rapid revenue collection and fund rebuilding projects, these measures have sparked a fierce debate among business leaders. Many argue that the tariffs threaten to stifle recovery in an economy still reeling from war.

Business leaders in the region have raised concerns about the economic impact of these measures.

The Tigray Chamber of Commerce & Sectoral Associations (TCCSA) has repeatedly urged the administration to reconsider the new tariffs, especially for companies that have already suffered heavy losses. Its President, Berihu Haftu, contended that while Getachew, the TIRA chief, had announced a temporary pause on tariff implementation to ease the burden on recovering businesses, many municipalities continue to enforce the fees.

“Nothing has changed,” Berihu told Fortune, pointing to the disconnect between official proclamations and on-the-ground realities.

For many businesses, the additional costs threaten to derail efforts to restart operations, adding to an already overwhelming financial burden.

A businessman, who asked to remain anonymous due to the delicate affairs of the regional state, provided an illustration of difficulties local businesses face.

The plight of a water bottling company in Shire town that had been established six months before the onset of the war had initially secured a loan of 80 million Br. Due to accrued interest, the outstanding balance had swelled to 110 million Br. The company has struggled to obtain additional financing despite the desperate need for new capital, assessed at 180 million Br to procure machinery and cover working capital. In one recent incident, the business faced a demand for nearly one million Birr on a 30-million-Br loan, a burden compounded by the transport cost that charged six Birr for a 10Kg at every city the goods pass through.

“We need to rebuild before we are subjected to any payment requests,” the investor said, encapsulating the widespread sentiment among local entrepreneurs.

Local officials insisted that the revised tariffs are part of a broader strategy to revitalise the region’s shattered economy. Yet, as business owners recount their mounting struggles, a picture of deep-seated disarray emerges. An economic recovery plan, developed in the immediate aftermath of the war, has languished for two years, stymied by bureaucratic inertia and internal political disputes among senior members of the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) and TIRA leaders.

“The economy of Tigray hasn’t recovered,” Chief Administrator Getachew lamented last week, addressing the media at the Sheraton Hotel “The state of Tigray has been neglected and needs help.”

His remarks amplified the region’s persistent turmoil, where erratic essential services, widespread infrastructural damage, and shuttered manufacturing units remain the norm.

The strained relationship between the local banking industry and the region’s business community is added to the economic despair. While banks in the region continue to attract large deposits, local entrepreneurs have found it increasingly difficult to secure new loans. As of June 2024, commercial banks in the region had issued nearly 1.5 trillion Br in loans and advances while maintaining a non-performing loan ratio of 3.6pc, comfortably below the regulatory threshold of five percent. Yet, despite these measures, local businesses remain deeply concerned about the long-term prospects for recovery.

The banks’ reluctance to extend more credit is seen as a major impediment to recovery. Although they have maintained low levels of non-performing loans, they are blamed for their risk-averse approach, which left many war-affected businesses starved for urgently needed capital. Some local investors have expressed frustration over the apparent disconnect between the availability of funds in the banking system and the limited access to those funds for businesses in Tigray.

“Despite banks collecting large deposits from Tigray, loans are being disbursed elsewhere,” Getachew criticised the financial institutions.

The failure to provide capital compounds the difficulties for businesses still struggling with the war’s aftermath. Temporary relief measures, such as a one-year loan repayment moratorium for a combined debt of 86 billion Br, have offered some respite. Yet, the relief is short-lived as interest continues to accrue, pushing many companies further into financial distress.

Regulators at the National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE) have intervened, extending grace periods and issuing a circular signed by Vice Governor Solomon Desta, urging banks to adopt more flexible repayment options. The Vice Governor, who asked banks to assess each borrower’s financial situation and submit recovery plans by March 31, 2025, sought to help war-affected businesses manage their overwhelming debts.

Amid this financial uncertainty, businesses have called for more targeted support. Representatives from the Tigray Chamber of Commerce have pressed for a write-off of accrued interest on loans, arguing that the current measures do not adequately address the extraordinary difficulties faced by companies whose assets were decimated during the war.

According to Haftay Hagos, the Chamber’s secretary general, business revival has been slow, if not entirely absent, and immediate intervention is necessary to prevent further economic decline.

Business owners, including Moges Negu, general manager of Moges Negu Commercial Ranch Plc, painted a grim picture of the challenges ahead. Moges, whose company suffered millions in damages during the war, had taken out a loan of 570 million Br six months before the outbreak of the war in November 2020. Due to accrued interest, the loan has since ballooned to nearly one billion Birr, and an additional request for a loan of 3.7 billion Br to restart operations remains unmet.

“I still haven’t been able to start operations,” he told Fortune.

Tigray Regional State’s economic anguish extends beyond the business community. The region’s infrastructure is in ruins, with intermittent electricity, disrupted healthcare services, and damaged public facilities, uncovering the scope of the crisis. The revised municipal tariffs, while sought to generate the funds for rebuilding, are seen by some as a double-edged sword. While they may represent a critical effort to mobilise local resources for infrastructure projects, critics see them further burdening an economy already teetering on the edge of collapse.

Kassahun Gebregziabher, deputy head of the Tigray Investment & Export Commission (TIEC), voiced his frustration over the slow pace of financial relief and the continued imposition of tariff-related charges.

“Nothing has changed,” he said bluntly, criticising the lack of meaningful support from the Ministry of Finance and other government agencies.

Internal political strife further complicated the situation. Getachew blamed last week senior military commanders within the Tigray Defence Forces (TDF) undermining TIRA’s authority, a situation he attributed to the influence of what he characterised as a “TPLF faction”, describing them as part of a “criminal enterprise.” These internal divisions have not only inhibited the implementation of the economic recovery plan but have also sown confusion among local businesses about the actual enforcement of the new tariffs.

While the administration claims that the Cabinet has approved the tariff measures, local officials report that municipalities are proceeding with collections, leaving many business owners unsure of what to expect in the coming months.

The business community remains deeply skeptical.

Economists such as Arega Shumete (PhD) have stressed the importance of security in boosting investor confidence.

“Investors operating in the aftermath of war require assurances that they will not revert to previous conditions of chaos,” said Arega. “Easing transaction costs and providing special access to credit would be crucial for a sustained recovery.”

ZamZam Bank’s Profit Soars, But High Liquidity Looms Large

ZamZam Bank demonstrated measured growth and cautious risk management, placing it in a strong position within the niche Sharia-compliant market it pioneered as a fully-fledged interest-free financial institution. Its balanced lending strategy, robust capital buffers, and artificial intelligence (AI) initiatives mark it as a promising prospect. Nonetheless, analysts say managing liquidity pressures, curbing rising operational costs, and adapting strategically to rapidly evolving industry benchmarks remains critical for sustaining future growth and stability.

Incorporated in 2021, ZamZam Bank recently turned a corner by posting a net profit of 110.31 million Br, reversing previous losses and outperforming competitors in the emerging Sharia-compliant banking industry. Its closest competitor, Hijra Bank, trailed by nearly 10 million Br. ZamZam Bank’s net profit margin reached 17.22pc of total income, and income from financing and investments accounted for 71.7pc of operating revenue, a sign that growing customer acceptance of its Sharia-compliant banking model.

However, ZamZam’s earnings per share (EPS) stood at 5.94pc, below the minimum savings interest rate.

According to financial analysts, Sharia-compliant banks experience lower EPS, are influenced by profit-and-loss sharing models, have limited investment avenues, and higher compliance expenses.

Nonetheless, ZamZam attracted 1.9 billion Br in additional deposits, bringing its total to 6.9 billion Br during the fiscal year 2023/24. Yet, rapid deposit growth led to its interest-free financing to savings ratio dropping substantially to 67.4pc from the previous year’s 87.15pc, slightly exceeding the industry average of 60.6pc recorded at the end of June 2023, indicative of careful yet assertive lending practices.

Abdulmenan Mohammed (PhD), a financial analyst based in London, cautioned against such a sharp decline, stating that it deserves management’s attention.

ZamZam’s Vice President for Corporate Services, Kinde Abebe, attributed Central Bank’s regulatory credit growth cap targeting inflation control to the impact on newly formed banks.

“The ratio was lower because of the cap despite excess funds,” said Kinde.

Asset quality metrics show ZamZam’s cautious lending strategy. Its provisions for bad loans were only 0.87pc of total financing, notably below the industry’s average non-performing loan (NPLs) ratio of 3.6pc and comfortably beneath the regulatory cap of five percent.

However, its liquidity position presented mixed results. The Bank experienced a surge in foreign currency mobilisation, acquiring 30.47 million dollars during the year. Yet, total liabilities rose by 38pc, resulting in a liabilities-to-assets ratio of around 77pc, revealing potential liquidity pressures under adverse market conditions. Despite this, a healthy ratio of liquid assets — 40pc of total assets — demonstrated adequate capacity to manage deposit fluctuations.

The Bank’s total assets rose by 36pc to 9.38 billion Br, a notable deposit mobilisation and growth in its financing portfolio.

Capital adequacy remains a strong point for ZamZam Bank, reaching 35pc, far above the eight percent minimum mandated by regulators. Abdulmenan noted ZamZam held excess liquidity, calling for efficient asset utilisation.

Kinde conceded that making productive use of assets through capital formation, technological improvements, capacity building, and strategic partnerships remains a core focus.

ZamZam Bank’s paid-up capital increased by 20.6pc, reaching 2.05 billion Br, but a far cry from the National Bank of Ethiopia’s (NBE) requirement of five billion Birr, with a deadline in June 2026. However, its capital positions it more resiliently than many competitors in the banking industry, whose combined capital totals 277.8 billion Br. ZamZam’s capital-to-asset ratio of 21.86pc exceeded industry benchmarks, providing a safety buffer against potential volatility.

ZamZam’s stronger capital position could provide greater flexibility in technological investments, customer acquisition, and operational improvements. Industry-wide trends show deposit growth at 30pc, average loan expansion at 27pc, and net profit growth at 32pc, revealing ZamZam’s long-term success depends on balancing prudent expansion and risk management.

According to Kinde, additional constraints, such as the absence of an interest-free banking money market platform, were notable.

“We’re focusing on short-term investments like forex dealings while looking for additional opportunities like Musharaka services,” he told Fortune.

ZamZam’s revenues grew substantially during the financial year, increasing by 92pc to 857 million Br. Income from financing and investment rose by 75.6pc to 618.14 million Br, while other operating income surged by a whopping 157.5pc to 239.73 million Br. The profit distributed to Mudarabah depositors grew by 27.9pc to 10.32 million Br, yet accounted for only 1.7pc of total financing income.

Abdulmenan attributed this strong performance largely to substantial increases in financing income and extremely low costs associated with deposit mobilisation, citing them as major contributors to profitability.

“This is the smallest fraction of the proportion of interest conventional banks pay to mobilise deposits to interest income,” he told Fortune. “The substantial low level profit shared to Mudarabah depositors hugely contributed to the improved profit performance.”

Despite revenue growth, ZamZam’s rising overheads remain an issue, jumping by 42pc from the previous year. Wages and administrative expenses grew by 38.3pc, consuming 86.2pc of total costs at 659.4 million Br. They translated to an elevated cost-to-income ratio of 83pc. Provisions for asset impairments jumped by 73.3pc to 40.41 million Br, leading analysts to urge ZamZam’s executives to prioritise controlling these costs to enhance efficiency.

According to Abdulmenan, the management should monitor expanding expenses closely.

Kinde pointed to risk management improvements, focusing on high-risk accounts and regulatory compliance. He stated that 1,437 staff training was ongoing and noted limited understanding among the public of Islamic banking concepts. He also cited partnerships with international organisations for capacity building as beneficial.

With a population exceeding 100 million, having a substantial Muslim demographic, Ethiopia represents a largely untapped and promising market for Sharia-compliant banking. ZamZam Bank seized this opportunity as a pioneer, under the leadership of its inaugural president, Melika Bedri. Her background in economics from Addis Abeba University and a postgraduate degree in business administration from the Open University in London, coupled with her tenure as Chief Financial Officer (CFO) at the state-owned Commercial Bank of Ethiopia (CBE), positioned her to drive the Bank’s growth in this emerging segment.

ZamZam led in total assets and capital accumulation in the Sharia-compliant niche market, though its direct competitor, Hijra Bank, has shown larger percentage gains in profitability and faster branch expansion.

ZamZam Bank expanded its branch network to 84 locations, but the industry trend increasingly favours digital banking over physical branch expansion. ZamZam’s strategy balances both, but maintaining branches alongside expensive digital transformations will test its financial resilience. According to Nasir Dino (PhD), the board chairperson, the recent land acquisition in Lideta District for the new headquarters demonstrates a continued commitment to a physical presence, according to Nasir Dino (PhD), board chairperson.

“Preparations for construction are underway,” Nassir told shareholders. “It’ll enhance operational efficiency and solidify our corporate image.”

At ZamZam’s first branch, Alif, opened in 2021, Branch Manager Hussien Kebede prioritised deposit mobilisation, forex generation, and expanding the customer base during the financial year. He conceded challenges from regulatory credit caps to economic slowdowns but remained optimist about digital advancements, particularly the mandatory Fayda digital ID system. ZamZam has already launched a Sharia-compliant digital financing solution, Ansar, using artificial intelligence (AI) to serve individual and small business customers.

“This consolidates our leadership in interest-free digital finance,” Hussien told Fortune.

The service requires only an account with ZamZam, a business license, and personal documents.

Customer satisfaction remains strong. Hussamudin Seifu, part-owner of My Wish Enterprise, praised ZamZam’s efficiency and customer-oriented operations, especially in loan and letters-of-credit (LC) processing. Comparing older banks to “sleeping giants,” Hussamudin praised ZamZam’s managers for their agile approach.

“They’re running the bank as a business,” he said.

Although holding shares in another bank, he exclusively uses ZamZam’s services.

“This is the best service I’ve seen in my 18 years in business,” he told Fortune. “ZamZam could further expand its customer base and double its deposits.”

 

Editors’ Note: This article has been amended from its original form on March 18, 2025.

Trapped Between Sunlight, Soaring Costs, Farmers Struggle to Ditch Diesel

Fenta Atele gazes at the shrinking shores of Lake Abaya, in Southern Regional State, worry etched on his face. Until recently, the lake’s plentiful water allowed him and his fellow farmers to irrigate their thriving crops of bananas, onions, vegetables, wheat, and fruits. Today, however, he is wrestling with an economic crisis sparked by rising fuel costs.

He used to earn 200,000 Br monthly when fuel prices were below 30 Br a litre. Now that retail gas prices have climbed steeply, Fenta’s farm is sliding towards unexpected losses.

“I’ve tried maintaining my previous production levels,” he said. “But, I can’t keep pace with these economic difficulties and the technological advancements.”

Fenta and his colleagues had relied on one fuel-powered pump to irrigate their land. With the lake receding, two pumps are now required, doubling fuel expenses. His only real alternative — solar-powered irrigation — is unaffordable, with pump prices ranging from half a million to over one million Birr.

“I struggle daily with fuel costs,” Fenta told Fortune. “If I can’t afford a solar pump, I’ll have no choice but to stop irrigating.”

Solar irrigation is seen as a revolutionary solution to Ethiopia’s agricultural struggles, particularly amid escalating fuel prices and unreliable traditional irrigation methods. However, the prohibitive initial costs, technical issues, and limited skills have kept many of the 19 million farmers like Fenta on the sidelines.

A short distance away, Behailu Abbota has had some success, farming banana, switching partly to solar irrigation. Farming in Arba Minch’s hot climate, Behailu depends heavily on frequent watering for his six hectares of banana farm. Previously, he ran four gas generators daily, consuming about 30Lts of fuel. After investing 300,000 Br in a solar pump last year, his daily fuel consumption has gone down to zero.

Around one million diesel pumps are in use, although this number has declined due to high spare parts and diesel costs. In the last six months of the current fiscal year, 66,648 water pumps were imported, signalling that the year will see much lower import numbers compared to 235,000 in 2023/24 and 238,411 the year before.

Behailu recalled the financial constraints facing other farmers despite clear savings from solar-powered pumps.

“My colleagues want to switch, but now the price has doubled,” he lamented. “It’s unaffordable.”

Solar pumps also present practical issues. They only operate during daylight hours unless connected to electricity.

“Without sunlight, you can’t run the pump,” he said.

Take Misganu Sete, who cultivates mangoes and vegetables in Armachho Mdregenet. He bought his solar pump four months ago for half a million Birr. Despite substantial fuel savings, he is disappointed by the technology’s limited usability.

“You can only use it during daylight,” he said.

He spent heavily on fuel last year, but this year’s savings have not significantly boosted production yet.

Further north in Butajira East Miskan Woreda, Central Ethiopia Regional State, Ibrahim Erede shares Behailu’s cautious optimism. He grows fruits and vegetables across three hectares using a solar pump. It pumps water effortlessly from depths exceeding 20 metres, delivering nine litres a second. Yet, he admitted the investment — 1.8 million Br, partly funded by a Dutch company — is out of reach for most.

“Initially, farmers hesitated,” he recalled. “I convinced some to adopt it. We’re now growing a diverse range of crops.”

However, many in his village still can not afford solar pumps, especially with rising prices.

Across Ethiopia, similar stories emerge where financial realities temper optimism. Abebe Goshu, managing water resources in Wetet Abay District, sees solar pumps as critical in addressing local drinking water shortages. Yet, even with international aid reducing costs, financial strain persists.

“Without sufficient sunlight, the pump can’t run, and the cost remains high,” he said, noting they reduced fuel expenditure but still face limitations.

There are over 1,500 solar pumps across the country for irrigation; however, this figure also includes community-based efforts. Where Zelalem Girma sits as a manager of Meseret Mare Gebre Solar Importer, uptake has been slow despite importing around 250 solar water pumps since 2020. Prices in Ethiopia are disproportionately high compared to neighbouring countries. A pump that costs between 400,000 and half a million Birr in Kenya can be up to 1.2 million. Customs tariffs and VAT add to the cost of building solar pumps, making them unaffordable for many smallholders.

Those from the International Water Management Institute confirm these observations.

“Solar pumps in Ethiopia cost three times more than in Kenya,” Muluken Eliyas (PhD), deputy country representative of the Institute and a researcher, said. “The dynamics are not progressing as swiftly as we’d prefer.”

A recent research on solar pump irrigation discovered the viability and prospects of photovoltaic solar pumps for smallholder irrigation, revealing that approximately 1.4 million farmers are engaged in small-scale irrigated agriculture, with 210,000 to 400,000 leveraging motor pumps. Ethiopia imported motor pumps valued at 10 million dollars in 2012, comprising a notable portion of the 70 million allocated for irrigation equipment imports. The research had forecasted this figure would have increased by 10-fold if Ethiopia realised its irrigation objectives by 2020.

It appears an ambition far from realisation. Despite distributing 20,000 pumps this year for farmers in the Oromia Regional State, only a fraction were solar-powered.

“Farmers remain committed to fuel-based irrigation,” said Meskelu Tulu, the State’s director for mechanisation.

For Mitiku Africa, director of mechanisation in the Southwest Regional State, another of the most pressing problems is finding skilled technicians.

“Fuel costs hinder irrigation, yet solar technology is also problematic without skilled support,” he told Fortune.

Solar importer Agri Sun Ethiopia has supplied over 500 pumps nationwide in the past two years, bridging financial gaps through partnerships with banks and international agencies. Its General Manager, Yimam Kebede, conceded farmers still face affordability barriers.

“They want these pumps but buying them isn’t easy,” he said. “Convincing them of solar technology’s benefits requires considerable effort.”

The Ethiopian Solar Energy Development Association (ESEDA), representing 99 members, advocates for broader solar adoption. According to Yemissrach Sisay, its general manager, financial models currently available from banks and microfinance institutions are inadequate.

“Policy adjustments are essential,” she argued.

Without dedicated loans, widespread adoption will remain elusive.

Federal officials responsible for agricultural, rural and lowland communities acknowledge the potential of irrigation. According to Elias Awol, head of smallholder irrigation development at the Ministry of Agriculture, improvements in solar pump adoption, particularly through partnerships with international institutions like the World Bank and the International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD). Yet, affordability remains worrisome.

“Transitioning farmers to solar irrigation involves financial and technological limitations,” Elias said. “We aim for collateral-free loans to support them.”

Abdurahman Abdela, state minister for Irrigation & Lowlands, sees solar irrigation as essential for achieving Ethiopia’s agricultural goals.

“Fuel pumps lack durability and efficiency,” he told Fortune.

Despite ambitious government initiatives, such as a seven-year, 60 million-dollar solar irrigation project, practical difficulties for wider use persist. Federal officials have the ambitious goal of reaching 50pc solar pump adoption by 2030. Partnerships with the World Bank and the Development Bank of Ethiopia (DBE) aspire to address financial issues, but the real impact will take time.

Yared Mulat, a lead executive for irrigation project research and design at the Irrigation & Lowlands  Ministry disclosed that there are 11 major projects across the country, exceeding 100 million Br in investment. One project in the Waghmira Zone, Amhara Regional State, has the potential to irrigate 3,500hct, with over 1,000hct utilising solar energy. The Ministry has secured a 450 million dollars financial package from the World Bank for various projects, which includes solar pump initiatives.

The private sector’s engagement in solar energy development is on the rise, noted Birhanu Wolde, Rular Energy Development lead excecutive at the Ministry of Water & Energy, who sees the dual barriers of affordability and technological limitations.

“Farmers need practical demonstrations, not simply theoretical benefits,” he said.

Solar experts point to another dimension in technical literacy.

“Implementing solar irrigation requires skilled personnel and better technological understanding among farmers,” said Seyfie Abate, an expert in the industry.

Davis & Shirtliff Trading Ethiopia, the country’s largest importer, annually imports around 2,000 solar pumps, demonstrating increasing demand but also revealing ongoing implementation issues, According to Seyfie.

The Adventist Development & Relief Agency (ADRA), an international non-governmental organisation, trains young professionals in the solar industry, integrating them into the agricultural domain. According to Getachew Mitku (PhD), Green TVET project assistant at ADRA, partnering with the Ministry of Labour and through the development of educational materials, the organisation provides short-term training courses.

“Introducing solar will not rectify the situation without adequately educated manpower,” he told Fortune. “We’re committed to bridging this gap.”

ADRA has trained 480 individuals in Arbaminch, Wulqite, Afar, and Diredwa. Prior to the disruptions in the north, they planned to train 1,200 individuals in Oromia Regional State, though only 560 were admitted. Similar plans in Tigray faltered.

“We also train farmers on maintenance, yet the numbers remain insufficient,” Getachew said. “Once trainees complete their programme, pathways to workforce integration are facilitated.”

However, small number of importers, inadequate foreign exchange, and limited credit access remain critical barriers.

Yemanebrhan Kiros, manager of Yomener Energy, sums up the dilemma facing Ethiopian agriculture. Despite the clear financial and environmental benefits of solar irrigation, Ethiopia’s farmers remain trapped between the costs of fuel and solar technology.

“How can a farmer financially transition to solar while initial solar costs are steep, daily operational expenses are minimal compared to fuel,” he quipped. “Yet, affordability remains a barrier for most.”

Many farmers, like Fenta, stare into an uncertain future, waiting for affordable and practical solutions. Experts in the field see the promise of solar irrigation tangled in financial and technical complexities, which requires more than technological innovation. They urge strategic economic reform, practical financial solutions, and comprehensive technical training. Until then, farmers’ hopes remain illuminated but still distant.

Hijira, Lion Banks Push Limits as Brewed Buck Slips 2.1pc against the Dollar

An escalating divergence in the foreign exchange market is rattling confidence in the Birr, (Brewed Buck), as banks aggressively compete amid acute shortages of foreign currency. Despite recent interventions by the National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE), including a special 60 million dollars auction meant to stabilise the currency, the Birr continued its downward slide, shedding around 2.1pc of its value in two weeks.

Private banks have increasingly adopted aggressive strategies, betting on further depreciation, while the state-owned Commercial Bank of Ethiopia (CBE) remains noticeably conservative. The disparity was illustrated last week, as private banks such as Hijira Bank and Lion International Bank (LIB) pushed buying rates sharply upward. On March 10, Hijira Bank posted a peak buying rate of 130.007 Br against the dollar, with Lion Bank edging slightly higher to 130.071 Br two days later.

By comparison, CBE held its buying rate considerably lower, at 124.009 Br, demonstrating its caution amid a volatile market.

Selling rates mirrored this divergence. Hijira Bank reached a peak selling rate of 132.607 Br, narrowly trailing Lion Bank’s 132.672 Br. The CBE, yet again, posted notably lower selling rates, settling around 126.489 Br. The strategy signals CBE’s continued alignment with policymakers seeking to curb rapid depreciation, even at the cost of market competitiveness.

The widening gap between state and private banks’ rates reveals deeper complexities within the currency market. Banks are carefully tiptoeing a precarious balance, offering high bids at auctions to secure scarce dollars, yet setting lower retail counter rates to address risks. Market observers note this disparity uncovered the contradictions inherent in the current market dynamics where aggressive bidding is used to maintain liquidity and conservative retail pricing to control risk exposure.

Hijira Bank, in particular, has drawn attention lately due to its forex managers’ aggressive postings, sometimes surpassing 130 Br to a dollar, clearly signaling their strategy to secure scarce hard currency for clients at all costs. Their assertive approach contrasted sharply with the cautious behaviour maintained by the CBE, which appears influenced by policy objectives intended to limit excessive currency volatility.

Yet, analysts have raised concerns that the state bank’s resistance to align rates with market trends could exacerbate uncertainties rather than ensure stability.

The disparity was also illustrated by unusual fluctuations in the National Bank of Ethiopia’s (NBE) rate spreads. Typically, banks adhere closely to a policy-imposed two percent margin between buying and selling rates. However, on March 10, NBE’s spread dipped to 1.71pc, and by March 13, it dramatically narrowed to an atypically low 0.37pc, unusual volatility reflecting market uncertainty.

Major private banks, such as Dashen, Abyssinia, Awash, Zemen, and Wegagen, have adopted moderate rate adjustments, incrementally pushing their buying rates towards the 128 Br mark. Their cautious yet incremental approach unveiled that these banks are positioning themselves prudently, avoiding outright competition with the most aggressive contenders, but still signalling expectations of further currency weakening.

Forex volatility continues despite liberalisation measures implemented by authorities in early August last year. These reforms were designed to stabilise the Brewed Buck and reduce the reliance on parallel markets. Yet, the informal market still trades at premiums of 25pc compared to official rates, attracting individuals and businesses seeking more flexible and competitive pricing than formal banking channels.

Analysts forecast continued depreciation pressures over the coming months unless monetary authorities intervene to address the underlying imbalances between currency supply and persistent demand for imports. According to market observers, by end of April, the most aggressive banks could see buying rates approaching 132 Br and selling rates climbing as high as 135 Br. However, the CBE is expected to maintain its conservative posture, particularly if it continues to dominate forex auctions.

Businesses and consumers are caught in the turmoil, facing rising import costs and mounting uncertainty. The banking industry’s inability to see reasonably matching commission rates on forex sells complicates market forecasting and strategic planning for companies dependent on foreign currency. Analysts warn that uncertainty will likely continue, prolonging volatility without decisive Central Bank action to address structural imbalances, leaving the Brewed Buck’s fate precariously balanced between policy priorities and market realities.

A Country Governed by Guesswork, While Millions Lost in the Shadows

Ask anyone about the population of Addis Abeba, and a straightforward answer proves elusive. Wikipedia claims the city’s population reached 5.7 million this year. Worldpopulationreview.com, however, puts the figure at nearly six million. The UN’s Human Settlements Program, or UN-Habitat, estimates it at four million, quite below the Addis Abeba City Administration’s projection, which surpasses five million. Even this official figure is far from accurate, resulting from annual projections made for almost two decades now.

Such discrepancies underline Ethiopia’s deeper statistical crisis, which is outdated, conflicting, and unreliable.

The Ethiopian Statistics Service (ESS) recently reported the national population at 109 million for 2024, sharply contrasting the United Nations’ estimate of about 127 million, a massive gap of nearly 20 million people, the population size of either Zambia or Chad.

The last comprehensive census took place 18 years ago, in 2007. The fourth national population and housing census, planned for November 2017, never happened. Thus, Ethiopia relies on projections and estimations, which grow increasingly inaccurate by the year.

These contradictions carry severe consequences. Inaccurate population data impairs development planning, undermining public services from healthcare and education to infrastructure. Underestimating the population deprives millions of critical services, as overestimating leads to wasted resources. Both scenarios erode public trust and weaken governance.

Reliable demographic data is fundamental to effective governance. It determines how policymakers and legislators allocate resources, where they build schools and hospitals, and how they plan economic strategies. Ethiopia’s demographic uncertainties mean policymakers operate mainly in the dark, risking ineffective or misguided interventions.

The absence of current census data is particularly harmful in a country experiencing rapid urban growth and internal migration. Millions of Ethiopians move within the country each year, driven by economic hardship, political instability and violent conflicts. Such movements deem older population data irrelevant, complicating efforts to provide adequate infrastructure, housing, and public services. Regional authorities struggle to manage urbanisation effectively without accurate and up-to-date figures.

Persistent underinvestment in the statistical and census works has not been helpful. Chronic underfunding has led to high staff turnover within the ESS, as unattractive salaries and limited career opportunities drain talent. This has resulted in a loss of institutional memory, leaving the agency ill-equipped to handle complex operations like national censuses. Sporadic international assistance alone cannot fill the gap. The agency needs sustained investment to build a robust statistical framework.

Technological advancements, such as Geographic Information System (GIS) mapping and digital interviewing techniques, offer promising solutions. Nonetheless, their potential remains unfulfilled due to limited resources and frequent administrative restructuring at local levels, which disrupts census enumeration. These tools fail to deliver meaningful improvements without consistent financial and technical support.

A functional Civil Registration & Vital Statistics (CRVS) system could enhance census accuracy. Alarmingly, Ethiopia registers only around three percent of births, severely limiting demographic insights crucial for timely policy interventions. Establishing an effective CRVS system would dramatically improve demographic records and provide policymakers with reliable ongoing data.

The practical implications of this statistical crisis are profound. Without accurate data, policymakers cannot effectively plan for education, healthcare, employment, or housing. Policymakers remain unaware of critical details, such as literacy rates, school enrollment, infant and maternal mortality rates, employment figures, and access to utilities like electricity and clean water. These gaps inhibit their ability to tackle poverty, improve gender equality, and devise sound housing policies.

Not surprisingly, other African countries echo Ethiopia’s statistical failings.

In Nigeria, inconsistent agricultural output figures in 2017 caused confusion and worsened food insecurity. Nigeria’s Bureau of Statistics reported maise production at 10.5 million tons, while the Food & Agriculture Organization (FAO) estimated it at only seven million tons. The discrepancy delayed vital policy interventions. Ethiopia’s leaders’ claim of annual wheat productivity is three times larger than the US Department of Agriculture reported. Zimbabwe provides another cautionary tale; during its hyperinflation crisis in the late 2000s, unreliable inflation reporting obscured the economic reality, complicating governance and international aid efforts.

Ethiopia risks similar pitfalls unless it urgently reforms its statistical system. Accurate census and transparent data should become a national priority.

Reliable data should not be optional. It forms the foundation of sound governance and sustainable growth. Ethiopia’s continued statistical inaccuracies threaten effective national planning and development. Policymakers should decisively commit to strengthening statistical institutions and enforcing transparency. Without these steps, the country’s developmental ambitions will falter, and public confidence in official figures will remain fragile.

It needs strengthened technical capacities, improved coordination among statistical agencies, and independent oversight bodies to ensure transparency. Regular publication of comprehensive data audits could also restore public trust and conform statistical practices with global standards.

The damage from continued inaction would be consequential. Incorrect agricultural data can derail food security efforts. Inaccurate GDP or inflation figures may trigger misguided monetary and fiscal policies. Flawed population data can undermine social welfare programs. Ethiopians risk critical decisions based on flawed assumptions without up-to-date census, endangering long-term development goals.

Ethiopia is at a crossroads, facing the critical choice of either continuing its reliance on guesswork for policymaking or embarking on the rigorous task of conducting a new and comprehensive national census. International donors can assist through funds and sustained technical expertise, but the political will can only come from its leaders. Strengthening institutions, ensuring transparent communication, and rigorously overseeing census methodology are essential.

The consequences of inaction are already dire and worsening. Effective governance and future development fundamentally depend on accurate demographic data. Without decisive measures, the country risks deepening divisions and falling short of meeting the aspirations of its rapidly expanding population. There has seldom been greater urgency to carry out a fresh census.

However, the prevailing security situation presents a formidable obstacle. Violent conflicts, notably in the regional states of Amhara and Oromia, certainly complicate any immediate effort to deploy census-takers house-to-house. This is not new. Instability and mass protests had prompted former Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn’s government to postpone the fourth census. Indeed, crises of this magnitude pose logistical and technical nightmares, from disrupted mapping exercises to rising operational costs.

Equally problematic would be the politicisation of census data, a common feature in deeply fragmented societies such as Ethiopia. Here, demographic figures often cease to be neutral statistics. Instead, they become bargaining tools, shaping political representation and influencing resource allocation.

Despite these serious constraints, censuses remain feasible — and crucial — even during times of crisis. Humanitarian emergencies demand timely, reliable, and detailed population data, ensuring aid is accurately targeted towards affected areas and vulnerable populations. So do businesses to develop business plans. Conducting a census amid conflict should therefore be seen as more than a statistical exercise; it is a pathway toward reclaiming stability.

Every number counted represents resilience, dignity regained, and an informed step toward recovery and lasting peace.

Right to Addis Abeba in the Age of Glitzy Facelift

Addis Abeba is undergoing a dramatic transformation. Gleaming high-rises, luxury apartment buildings, and sprawling infrastructure projects now symbolise the city’s rapid renewal. As construction crews move forward with the second phase of the corridor project, the commute for many residents, including my own, has become a daily cruising around excavators and dust clouds. Like the old saying goes, “It gets worse before it gets better.”

My shoes bear the proof, requiring frequent visits to shoeshine boys.

At these shoeshine corners, I often find myself chatting with the young men diligently working on footwear. More often than not, these conversations consistently reveal an underlying anxiety. These young men anticipate the corridor project inevitably reaching their corners of the city, forcing them to relocate. Yet, again. Many have already experienced displacement from bustling hubs like Piassa and Bole areas, now attempting to establish themselves in less lucrative neighborhoods.

Indeed, the sparkling new streets such as on Africa Avenue (Bole Road) are impressively clean, reducing the demand for shoeshines. But, the disappearance of these boys from such prominent streets should not be about cleaner pavements. It is part of a broader trend. Informal vendors who once filled these streets selling stuff from clothes to electronics have also largely vanished. A stroll down African Avenue reveals a markedly different atmosphere from a few years ago. Tidy, posh, and devoid of the vibrant informal economy that once animated the area.

I begin to wonder whether these people have no place in the new urban vision or if the city’s ambitious projects do not have room for them.

The “right to the city,” a concept articulated by French sociologist Henri Lefebvre in 1968, offers a helpful lens through which to view this issue. Lefebvre proposed that cities should not merely be spaces for economic activities and construction. They are social goods created collectively by all who inhabit them. Urban residents, he argued, should have a say in shaping their environment.

Yet, Addis Abeba’s current urban renewal process increasingly favours those who can afford to remain, turning this right into a privilege reserved for the well-to-do.

Consider the La Gare project, celebrated as a sign of progress and modernity. It came at a huge human cost, demolishing older neighborhoods home to longstanding communities to make way for luxury housing and commercial developments. Those displaced received compensation, yet their sense of belonging and connection to their lifelong neighborhoods has been irretrievably lost. They have become strangers in a city they once knew intimately.

This phenomenon is repeated across the city, particularly in Piassa, where removing small businesses and historic neighborhoods has paved the way for stylish boutiques and cafes that primarily cater to affluent patrons. In the process, affordable eateries, though modest and sometimes dilapidated, have vanished. These small, informal establishments once served meals to countless workers. Likewise, vibrant local markets that were both economic hubs and essential community spaces have given way to sleek and sanitised commercial areas that feel distant from the daily realities of average residents.

Certainly, there are undeniable benefits to some of these changes. The new parks and walkways emerging across the city have quickly become popular public spaces. Hundreds of families flock to places like Adwa Park in Piassa on weekends, where dancing fountains and green landscapes offer pleasant settings for relaxation and recreation. Residents from all walks of life genuinely enjoy these parks.

However, cities cannot simply be treated as open-air museums or picturesque backdrops for photo opportunities. They should remain spaces for everyday life: complex, messy, and inclusive. While parks may be open to everyone, the upscale developments surrounding them are symbols of exclusivity, admired but rarely accessible to the broader public.

Moreover, the “right to the city” includes the right to participate meaningfully in urban planning decisions. In Addis Abeba, however, public engagement in such processes remains minimal. Major developments often appear as completed facts, leaving little room for genuine community input. Urban governance has increasingly become a dialogue between policymakers, developers, and investors rather than residents. As a result, neighborhoods transform—or vanish—without the voices of those most affected.

Addis Abeba’s experience is hardly unique. From Johannesburg to Istanbul, urban renewal projects worldwide spark heated debates about displacement, housing rights, and democratic participation. The common justification for such projects is modernisation, with developers and policymakers minimising or overlooking the social consequences.

Yet, exploring the city’s outskirts reveals neighborhoods untouched by urban renewal’s promises—places brimming with informal traders, street vendors, shoeshines, and a bustling informal economy. Walking through these lively, noisy areas might evoke nostalgia for the calmness and cleanliness of the newly renewed streets, but it also highlights what is at stake. The right to the city extends beyond tidy, attractive public spaces. It means ensuring residents from every socioeconomic level can shape, use, and benefit from their urban environment.

Ultimately, a genuinely inclusive urban future for Addis Abeba demands adopting the right to the city as a central guiding principle. This approach means prioritising the voices and experiences of residents, informal workers, and small businesses in urban development decisions. It means recognising and mitigating displacement and social exclusion. Above all, it requires viewing the city not merely as a physical space to be redesigned but as a shared social resource where the right to belong does not depend solely on one’s economic means.