Switch Off the TVs, Video Games. Bring on the Poetry

Some stories flow like poetry. It is reported that, to the amazement of many, “Happy Birthday to You” had been, till very recently, a copyrighted song that earns million of dollars a year; as it is ranked as the world’s most recognised song in the Guinness Book of World Records. It was written in 1893 by the Hill sisters, taking its name only from the first line of its second stanza. It was popularised as much by its melody as by its simple lyrics.

No wonder. If an original draft of poetry by William Shakespeare, who is assumed not of an age but for all time, came on the market today, it would sell for millions of dollars. The same goes for any great poet whose name is not new to us.

Recently, I had the pleasure of meeting up with Ephraim Seyoum, the poet, whom I very much admire, to get his signature on the list of books he authored. Luckily, all I have were genuine copies, and all went as planned. Yet, we talked about the problem of pirated copies. I also told him how indebted I am to his book, Tewaney, meaning “actor.” It was an adopted poetic translation from Ge’ez that also inspired me to study the language.

It was in the aftermath of meeting Ephraim that I suggested to a friend we bring back a pastime we used to have when we were in high school. There was a once in a while ‘quatrain’ competition in poetry – a series of four lines that make one verse of an impromptu poem – a stanza in Amharic.. It was for us a byway of joining great scholars as well as bards and reviving a broad interest in what seems like an ancient art form.

I remember how we used to keenly await the competition, on subjects prescribed by lot. We used to ponder over what it takes to be clear and simple, and the vocabularies deemed appropriate for themes or occasions. We used to discuss about poets, whether they are born or made, and whether we could make it to where the greats did.

It was then we decided to further draw inspiration from some poems from “Esat woy Abeba” by Tsegaye Gebre Medhin, staged in a western form of drama at the historical Hager Fikir Theatre. No wonder that it was from a man brought up being amazed by qene, play on words in poetry, and bridge making among cultures. It was manifested through the joy of all who attended the show, as some like myself followed line-by-line with his typical rhythm.

It often seemed that as and when Tsegaye was using words that are not instantly recognised by everyone, even considered as an example of unfortunate writing, for some, the only good writing is that which is with plain words. Yet, many lamented leaving the small auditorium, repenting the same misunderstanding and the lost opportunity of enjoying the beauty and essence of lexicons from the man who changed the Ethiopian theatre stage.

As we left the auditorium – we had attended the show twice – we regretted with my friend why we were unable to preserve our lost quatrains of our high school. We could have kept them, as “Anonymous,” the world’s most prolific author; as tens of thousands of works have been published or kept anonymously since the invention of the printing press. Famous anonymous works include Poe’s first poems; all of Jonathan Swift’s works; all of Jane Austen’s early works; and Alexander Pope’s “Essay on Criticism.”

Hopefully, “Esat Wey Abeba” will be a pioneer to other poets to come to the stages, while efforts as that of Ephraim Seyoum’s need to be encouraged. Not everyone will be a poet. But we can all help create them by becoming enthusiastic readers.

Data, Economic Science: Building Blocks to Dev’t

Despite having a substantial public budget, Ethiopia does not have enough funds to do everything its citizens would like. In that respect, Ethiopia is no different from any other country, rich or poor: it has to prioritise between many worthy opportunities.

In every country, the main role of the government and parliament is to prioritise policy options and investments. Hopefully, these policies will be the ones that deliver the greatest benefit for each Birr spent. These could be enormously influential investments in health, such as rotavirus vaccinations, or in education, such as structured teacher plans.

However, as everywhere else in the world, policies are often driven by other considerations that can dramatically reduce effectiveness. This could be driven by special interest groups and vocal minorities highlighting their preferred options. For instance, fertiliser subsidies definitely help the individual farmer, but overall, such a policy delivers only small returns for society. And media will often push exciting interventions, even if their returns are dubious. For instance, giving each child a cheap laptop was long seen as an exciting and crucial pathway to educating children in the 21st century. Now, some studies show that not only is this an expensive option, but also one that delivers zero benefits — actually, the children possibly become slightly less attentive.

Data and economic science can provide a handy input to help the government and citizens cut through the noise from interest groups and assist with allocating resources to improve the budgeting process.

Cost-benefit analysis – an approach that uses rigorous, cross-sectoral economic analysis to establish what could be achieved by spending additional money in different areas – is rarely used by any government in the world in a broad, transparent fashion. Why? It requires large numbers of academics, well-organised inputs and the collection of considerable data, and it creates analytical results that can upset some vested interest groups.

Projects under the Copenhagen Consensus Centre [of which the author is the president] have helped state and national governments zero in on the most powerful investments. In India, we collaborated with Tata Trusts, the nation’s oldest philanthropy, while in Bangladesh we worked with BRAC, the world’s biggest NGO. These local inputs make sure that the policies examined are the most relevant to each country.

Another project that could be transformative is being carried out for the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation to investigate how nations can best spend resources within the conversation of the so-called Sustainable Development Goals.

What could such an investigation achieve for Ethiopia?

The country has huge opportunities ahead – but also challenges which could impact prosperity if not navigated carefully.

A rapid assessment for Uganda points to the types of research that could help Ethiopia. We worked with Uganda’s National Planning Authority to examine each of the interventions suggested in the new Uganda Budget Strategy, undertaking a rapid assessment to quickly evaluate the costs and benefits of each initiative, based on the academic literature.

This report highlighted the vast benefits of opening schools unconditionally and keeping them open to improve future earnings for Ugandan children. The research also showed the huge benefits of prioritising healthcare spending on specific communicable diseases like malaria and tuberculosis. Among all the competing claims on the healthcare budget, there is enormous value in focusing additional resources on these areas where relatively tiny investments can generate vast results.

It also showed areas that should not be prioritised, such as software skills development training, which sounds sensible and often attracts attention but typically has low returns, given the vast global competition in this area.

The Uganda research pointed to the potential benefits of region-wide policies such as reducing non-tariff barriers across Africa, which could boost GDP across the region by 2.2pc or 5.2 billion dollars.

Showing where each Birr does the most good does not offer the last word in budgetary decision-making. Nor does it supplant politicians. It merely ensures that citizens and politicians are better informed. Decisions on how to allocate scarce resources should always remain the domain of elected politicians.

But this input means that the politicians and their officials can pick more of the really effective programs and slightly fewer of the less so, with additional data from economic science. Uganda’s National Planning Authority Executive Director Joseph Muvawala said that the Copenhagen Consensus report would be “core in guiding Government in the reprioritisation” of actions for its next National Development Plan.

Ethiopia should consider embracing the same opportunity. Ethiopian and international academics should be brought together to map out what really works and highlight where the next Birr can be spent best.

Making Green Energy Safe for Pastoralists

Pastoral communities live off the land. In northern Kenya, where I grew up, we raised local breeds of cattle, which grazed in the dry rangelands. But our land is more than the basis of our livelihoods; it also underpins our culture and identity.

As the local maxim goes, “This is where our umbilical cords are buried.” If that cord is cut – if our communities are severed from the land – tradition tells us that we cannot survive.

Kenyan institutions, from school to government, take a different view. Schools teach that pastoralists live on barren and unproductive wasteland, and that our approach to livestock-rearing is archaic and environmentally destructive. Official policies aim to force pastoral communities to abandon their mobile livestock production system, in favor of more “advanced” or “modern” agricultural systems, such as cropping, which, according to conventional wisdom, is more productive and sustainable.

It was not until I was engaged in postgraduate studies that I encountered credible evidence to the contrary. It turned out that my community in northern Kenya had been right all along: pastoralists’ livestock-husbandry practices are well adapted to dryland conditions, and pastoralism is a viable land-use option that can make sustainable use of dispersed resources.

Unfortunately, I also learned that the prejudice against pastoral systems is pervasive. And the deeply flawed logic underlying this prejudice continues to influence land-use decisions, including the decision to allow rangelands to be appropriated for green-energy projects.

It is easy to see why green-energy producers have set their sights on rangelands, which they misleadingly label “wastelands.” Because rangelands are fairly flat and tend to experience high solar irradiation and strong winds, they are ideal sites for cheap – and lucrative – solar and wind power projects.

It helps that rangelands are sparsely populated. Although local residents often resist the development of solar and wind farms, pastoral communities have less capacity to challenge the authorities than wealthier and more numerous urban dwellers do.

Pastoralists’ power to defend their interests is diminished further by their frequent exclusion from relevant decision-making processes. In Kenya, India, Morocco, and Norway, large-scale green-energy projects have been implemented on lands used by pastoralists, without adequate consultation with these groups and with limited regard for the principle of free, prior, and informed consent (FPIC) established in global human-rights agreements.

According to the FPIC principles, indigenous and pastoral communities have the right to give or withhold permission for a project that may affect them or their territories. But traditional pastoralists usually lack legally recognised titles to their common grazing land, which is supposedly held by the state “in trust” for its citizens.

But states often choose not to honour traditional land rights, even if it means violating international agreements. So, where solar farms are built, pastoralists lose access to pasture. Wind farms interfere less with grazing but are often viewed by pastoral communities as violations of their land and cultural rights. In fact, as my colleague Ann Waters-Bayer and I show in a recent study, green-energy projects have led to land and energy dispossession, interference in livestock migration routes, disruption of pastoral cultures, and decreased resilience of the pastoral land-use system.

Pastoral communities have tried to resist – sometimes violently, sometimes through the courts. In two cases – one in Kenya, and the other in Norway – courts ruled that the land-acquisition process had been illegal. But, in both cases, the wind turbines are still spinning, highlighting the uphill battle pastoralists must fight to protect their lands, cultures, and livelihoods.

There are better models for managing the lands on which pastoralists rely. In Mongolia, effective consultations with local communities mean that local concerns about the siting of solar farms have been taken into account during project design, with herders retaining full access to the pasture under wind turbines and power lines. Pastoral systems were thus not disrupted at all. In Canada, Kenya, and Mexico, there are green-energy projects that benefit local communities through revenue-sharing.

Such models cannot be adopted too soon, because the world is facing a likely boom in “green-grabbing” for energy expansion. The war in Ukraine has contributed to a spike in global energy prices and sent several European countries scrambling for alternatives to Russian oil and gas. Together with pressure to make progress toward achieving net-zero emissions, the incentive to expand green-energy production is stronger than ever. The “wastelands” of the sunny, windswept dry tropics and subtropics have never been so commercially enticing.

Obviously, the expansion of green energy is vital. Green-energy projects can even improve animal welfare, such as by providing shade. The issue comes down to design: developers should embrace multifunctional land-use approaches that integrate crop farming, livestock, biodiversity protection, rural social and economic activities, and energy production.

The only way to achieve this is through a transparent, inclusive, and participatory process in which pastoral communities play a central role. Stronger enforcement of human-rights principles like FPIC and more robust legal systems for recognising rights to common land must also be essential components of green-energy projects.

Failing that, a growing number of pastoralists will lose their land to Big Renewables, resulting in increased poverty, migration, hopelessness, and conflict. This would be the height of climate injustice.

Pickpocketing Goes Digital

With great power comes great responsibility. This is what technology has been to us lately – a great power but we have underestimated the massive responsibility that comes with it. The matter runs the gamut from creating public awareness on how to utilise technological products to protecting themselves from hackers and other online scams. Most of us have at some point either experienced firsthand or heard of online scams. And there seem to be many of them nowadays. I do not know if it is because the younger generation is fixated on making quick money, or if it is the inflation and the cost of living that has led to the flourishing of a scam industry.

What probably makes a recent scam I heard about different from the rest is that, without the help of an inside person from a well-recognised establishment, it could not be executed. A relative of mine received a phone call from people pretending to be from one of the banks. They asked for her personal information, which she provided. Then they called her again immediately, but this time telling her something about the system shutting down and for her to tell them a shortcode that had been sent to her phone.

In the middle of all of that, my relative’s phone vibrated and she started getting notifications from her bank. The messages read that she has withdrawn money three times, 15,000 Br in total. It finally hit her. She fed the number the scammers was using to an app called Truecaller, and it came out reading, “ya bank leba,” or bank thief. Apparently, other people also felt for this trick and saved the number as “bank thief” so it will appear on the app. She tried calling them but it was too late. The damage has been done. When she tried calling the number again the phone was switched off.

Given the physical state she was in, she could not have gone to the bank to report it. She had to tell a police officer in her area to do it for her. One would think that these scammers stop at that. A week later, they called her friend (perhaps these scammers have something against my relative) but since her friend already knew she called them out.

If it is not clear by now, I am talking about cardless cash withdrawal (where one can withdraw money without a debit card at an ATM). It is a helpful feature but it is being abused already. It is possible to pull such a con only if the scammers have an inside person from the bank; otherwise they would not get the full info needed to withdraw the money.

Apparently, this has been around for some time but I only came across it very recently. It made me so angry and disappointed at the same time. Angry because these people are stealing other people’s money and getting away with it, and disappointed because one cannot place trust in anyone, not even banks.

I have heard of similar scam stories before that are connected to mobile or internet banking carried out with a partner in crime (an inside person). A few years ago, a man lost 40,000 Br to a similar scam. The money was stolen as one of the tellers of a bank managed to get a hold of the manager’s password. The victim ended up suing the bank. The thieves were arrested and the bank told him they will return the money to him after the investigation was finished. I do not know how long that took. Imagine if that was all he had saved up in the bank; he would be in a financial crisis.

The public should not be left defenseless in the face of such crimes. The government should regulate and bring the thieves and scammers to justice and return the stolen money to the victims immediately.

OVERLOAD

A large truck carries a hefty amount of wood, probably for use as construction scaffolding, during rush hour in the Lancia neighbourhood. The small rag tied to the end of the logs is a signal to drivers behind to keep their distance. It would not do much good if the cargo were to slip out of the overburdened truck.

PEST CONTROL

Ronald Vijverberg (centre), general manager of Florensis, a company that supplies plants and flowers, speaks during a discussion on biological pest management held at the Hilton Hotel last week. The Ethiopian Horticulture Producer Exporters Association organised the event.

WELL CONNECTED

Firehiwot Tamiru, chief executive officer (CEO) of Ethio telecom, and Samrawit Fikru, CEO of Ride, at a signing ceremony at the telecom operator’s headquarters last week. The deal enables the ride-hailing service to offer the former’s Telebirr mobile money platform as a payment option.

Ethiopian, Boeing Seal Freighter Deal

The Ethiopian Airlines Group has ordered five Boeing 777 freighters.

The state carrier looks to add the aircraft to its fleet of nine 777 freighters assigned to its network of 66 cargo centres across four continents. The planes have a payload capacity of 107tn.

Ethiopian operates three 737-800 converted freighters, as well as a passenger fleet comprising more than 80 Boeing jets.

The agreement comes following the appointment of Mesfin Tassew as chief executive officer (CEO) of the Group two months ago. He replaced Tewolde Gebremariam, who made an “early retirement” after managing the carrier for 11 years.

The Group has been expanding the Ethiopian Cargo & Logistics Services, its cargo operations wing, in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, which presented serious disruptions to passenger flights. It carried 500,000tn of freight and 5.5 million passengers through Addis Abeba Bole International Airport, its main hub, in 2020.

It has also been involved in transporting COVID-19 vaccines, ferrying over 50 million doses to 28 countries last year.

Flower Farms Push Horticultural Exports to $500m

The export of horticultural products brought in half a billion dollars over the first three quarters of the financial year.

It represents a 15pc growth from revenues over the same period last year. Fresh-cut flowers account for the major share, with flower farms bringing in over 420 million dollars. Fruits and vegetables make up the balance.

There are 72 flower farms in operation, 64 of which are foreign-owned. They sell their products primarily to markets in the Netherlands, Saudi Arabia, the UK, and Norway.

Though fresh-cut flowers are the country’s third most valuable agricultural export commodity, after coffee and khat, industry players say the central bank’s forex retention policy and a change to the threshold price for the export of fresh-cut flowers are hampering operations.

Central Bank Nods to Telebirr Credit Services

Regulators at the National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE) have given the go-ahead to Ethio telecom to launch a proposed micro-loan and credit scheme through its Telebirr mobile money platform.

The state-owned operator has been launching a slew of products and services in recent months, ahead of pending competition from Safaricom Ethiopia Plc, which won an operators’ license after bidding 850 million dollars last year.

Earlier this month, Ethio telecom began piloting pre-commercial 5G network services. It also recently launched an online retail platform. Telebirr has facilitated transactions valued at close to 10 billion since it was launched last May.

Safaricom Ethiopia was expected to begin commercial operations last month, but has yet to do so.

Injera Exports Reach New Heights

The export of injera brought in 36 million dollars over the first three quarters of the financial year.

It is nearly half of the 81 million dollars generated from food and beverage exports over the same period, representing a 41pc jump. Beer, spices, and horticultural products account for most of the balance.

Injera is made from teff, a round grain that flourishes in the highlands of Ethiopia. It has high nutritional value and contains practically no gluten. The staple food is mainly exported to markets hosting large Ethiopian diaspora populations, such as the US and Europe.

Over a dozen legally registered companies were involved in injera exports in 2020, generating a little less than eight million dollars.

Taxi-Hailing Veteran Banks on Mobile Money

A taxi hailing industry leader has partnered with state-owned Ethio telecom to avail clients a new payment option.

Ride’s passengers can now use the telecom operator’s Telebirr mobile money platform to pay for their trips. The agreement between the two companies also looks to onboard Ride drivers as salespeople for Ethio telecom. They will augment close to 700 sales centres operated by Ethio telecom by selling subscriber identity module (SIM) cards.

Ride, co-founded by Samrawit Fikru as a subsidiary of Hybrid Designs Plc, began operations in March 2017 with a capital of 40,000 Br. It quickly rose to the forefront in Ethiopia’s nascent ride-hailing industry. However, the company faces stiff competition in the form of Feres, which has gained significant market share since it became available for download in early 2020.

Telebirr has garnered over 18 million users since it was launched a year ago.